Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

[jason1637]

EpicRandy said:

jason1637 said:
I think Trumps winning Texas and Ohio with NC AZ and Florida being tossups. Overall im expecting Trump to have about the same nimber of votes he had in 2016 while Biden is up 2-3m from Clintons numbers.

Forecast predicts a record turnout  of 150M+
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/10/2020-election-turnout/616640/
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2020/08/14/election-2020-a-once-in-a-century-massive-turnout/

so should be up by 11M+ overall at a minimum from 2020.

My guess is those vote will go towards Democrats heavily. 2016 already had somewhat of a galvanised republican voters base to vote for trump, but since then Trump has himself, for 4 years, made certain to galvinise democrats voters to go vote against him in 2020. 

I'll bet on a gap of 10M minimum of the popular vote in favor of Biden.

I'll also bet that most of the election night's "Surprises" if there is, will be at the benefice of democrats contrary to what happened in 2016.

 

I think the forecast will be wrong.