Cerebralbore101 on 09 August 2020
| Nautilus said: I'll just leave this here: Never trust polls, especially when it's still this far off the election. Most polls pointed to Trump defeat in 2016, and look what happened. Same thing happened in Brazil, and I bet the same thing happens in most countries.Hell, if you look at other US elections, you will probably see the same pattern. It has nothing to do if Trump is winning on them or if he is losing. Polls are historically unaccurate, especially in these past 5 or 6 years. |
A couple of things. Most polls pointed to Hillary beating Trump in the popular vote. She did, but she lost the Electoral College. 2016 taught a lot of pollsters how to avoid House Bias or House Advantage. House Bias happens when a pollster only polls their main viewership or readership. For example let's say AARP decides to do a poll. They then call AARP members, and nobody else. Well their poll is going to be skewed in favor of Trump since they only polled people 55 and up.
And finally, Biden is way further ahead in the polls than Hillary ever was.
