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Due to voter turnout in urban areas probably being lower than normal (which will hurt democrats a lot) I think the polls aren't really reflective of who will actually vote come election day. Some states have implemented widespread absentee ballots but those aren't swing states for the most part so even if there isn't a drop off in those states it won't impact the electoral college much if at all. Not to mention just because there is absentee voting options doesn't mean people will be aware of it or use it even if they are. Biden being grounded in the basement during covid 19 hasn't helped energize his base either. Democrats win by energy and die by apathy, whereas Republicans are more stable and consistent with voting. Low voter turnout favors Republicans generally (Clinton 2016 vs. Obama 2008/2012 is a joke).

All comes down to the rust belt states, Arizona, North Carolina, and Florida.