| SpokenTruth said: Do any of the candidates these drop before Super Tuesday? Do any drop immediately after ST? Polling: Klobuchar is at 5% nationally and only slightly better in a few Super Tuesday states. Buttigieg is at 10% nationally and just at or less in most of the big upcoming states. Money: As of Jan 31, 2020. Gabbard is hurting. Just $2 million on hand with $600k in debt. Klobuchar has $2.8 million in cash but hasn't spent very much either. She's only raised half of Biden and 1/3rd of Warren. Buttigieg has $6.6 million in cash and has out raised Biden but he's also spent a ton of his money. |
I actually don't know why Gabbard still sticks around. It made sense for her to wait for New Hampshire, as she had good polling there (comparatively). But it netted her nothing, she hasn't made the debates since then and she is out of the national discussion, as the conservatives now openly fear-mongering over Sanders. So I don't know when she will drop out, because she is already longer in than I expected.
For Steyer it hinges on South Carolina. If he can gain delegates, he has a path forward to the horse trading at the national convention. If not he probably will drop out. Even if he gains delegates in SC, it is among his best states. If he can't turn it into momentum for Super Tuesday, I see him dropping then.
Klobuchar and Warren have a difficult position. Interestingly Warren had good debates lately, but it doesn't seem to help her. But both will stick around to Super Tuesday. Klobuchar has the best polling in Minnesota, close in front of Sanders. Warren is close second behind Sanders in Massachusetts. That is what they are waiting for.
Buttigieg has decent national polling and can snatch some delegates here and there.
So I don't see anyone dropping out before Super Tuesday except maybe Steyer (if he underperforms in SC) and Gabbard (who should've dropped out before). They all will be waiting for Bloomberg and how big a splash he will be making by jumping into the pool.
