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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/democratic-debate-south-carolina-poll/

A poll on the debate. From the looks of it:

1. Sanders and Buttigieg got the best ratings, but relative to his popularity Sanders could have done better.

2. Steyer and Bloomberg got the worst ratings, so that crowd was definitely not representative.

3. In terms of who actually gained or lost support (measured in "share considering voting for each candidate") Biden, Warren,and Klobuchar lost support, everyone else gained or stayed the same. But the changes weren't huge, Biden lost half a point, Warren and Klobuchar each lost 2 points. Sanders gained the most, but that was only 1.5%.

4. Everyone except Warren improved their favorability. Warren suffered the biggest gain in unfavorability and only loss in favorability, for a net loss. Klobuchar also gained some unfavorability, but made up for it with favorability. Bloomberg marginally improved but is still the only net negative favorability rating. Sanders improved half a point. Biden improved 4 and a half points, so probably had the best night in terms of favorability even if it didn't improve people considering voting for him.

So what I make from this is that the debate actually hurt Warren a little bit, improved Biden's image but not his position, Sanders held his ground, Bloomberg is hitting a ceiling and isn't likely to win enough support to even get a plurality no matter how many millions he spends (he's just not likeable), and Klobuchar faded into the background for most people. The debate is a wash, won't change the SC outcome or the primary as a whole very much if at all, and was just an ugly waste of everyone's time.

Last edited by HylianSwordsman - on 26 February 2020