When will the switch outsell the ps4?

[ArchangelMadzz]

Nu-13 said:

ArchangelMadzz said:

The Wii Never hit 25m and you think the Switch will do it in consecutive years?

Why is it that this kind of post always asks this? Sales don't have to and won't be the same for two consecutive years. I expect 26m this year and 22m next year. The wii never selling 25m in one year has absolutely nothing to do with this topic.

I meant average it, still to expect such a massive spike in it's 4th year is pretty optimistic.

Switch Sold 19.5m units last year. That would be an increase of 33% between the 3rd and 4th year. a Comparison of growth between 3rd to 4th year below:

PS4: +12.5%
Wii: -20%
PS3: +7%
360: -7.5%
DS: +0.5%
XB1:-9.5%
WiiU:-300%
Vita:-6%

Out of all these Handheld and Home consoles (that we have the data of), only the PS4 managed double digit growth from 3rd year to 4th year. It seems extrodinarily unlikely that the Switch's growth will be 3x that amount.

Not saying it's impossible, but very optimistic at the least. 

(I agree this year will be NS's peak year but I think 23m is optimistic enough)