With no breakdown for week 1+2 numbers, I am going with a straight-forward 50/50 split like Famitsu itself has done for Golden Week last year; I won't be putting estimates in my table. The consequence of this is that week 1 will show up as being down year over year despite that not being the case; on the other hand, week 2 will be displayed as being massively up, also despite that not being the case. What is correct, however, is the cumulative difference between 2019 and 2020, so Switch has kicked off 2020 with an already notable advantage.

The remaining January weeks will give an idea for the new baseline until the release of Animal Crossing: New Horizons in week 12.

As for my personal expectations, I predict 2020 to be definitely over 4m. More precisely, I am expecting sales to fall into the range of 4.2-4.8m, so being better or worse than 2019 has about an equal chance at the moment. Nintendo's first party lineup for 2020 is largely unknown, so it would be a big guessing game to narrow down the range further. What seems certain is that Nintendo will have at least two big titles for the second half of the year, but what they'll be as well as their release timing is up in the air. Third parties haven't been open about their Switch plans either, but none of this is really different to how it was in 2019.

Week 2019 Weekly 2019 Cumulative 2020 Weekly 2020 Cumulative Difference Weekly Difference Cumulative
1 225.698 225.698 200.564 200.564 -25.134 -25.134
2 83.136 308.834 200.564 401.128 117.428 92.294
3 71.672 380.506
4 51.556 432.062
5 66.448 498.510
6 61.042 559.552
7 64.313 623.865
8 49.139 673.004
9 66.453 739.457
10 67.624 807.081
11 55.478 862.559
12 56.812 919.371
13 49.852 969.223
14 46.850 1.016.073
15 54.101 1.070.174
16 40.338 1.110.512
17 42.108 1.152.620
18 41.735 1.194.355
19 41.736 1.236.091
20 32.564 1.268.655
21 25.936 1.294.591
22 33.154 1.327.745
23 33.590 1.361.335
24 34.321 1.395.656
25 29.058 1.424.714
26 59.184 1.483.898
27 75.481 1.559.379
28 55.823 1.615.202
29 45.596 1.660.798
30 42.689 1.703.487
31 36.613 1.740.100
32 46.338 1.786.438
33 46.339 1.832.777
34 30.072 1.862.849
35 90.553 1.953.402
36 77.392 2.030.794
37 51.619 2.082.413
38 239.740 2.322.153
39 196.489 2.518.642
40 89.137 2.607.779
41 56.680 2.664.459
42 54.067 2.718.526
43 69.438 2.787.964
44 119.397 2.907.361
45 88.772 2.996.133
46 180.136 3.176.269
47 179.992 3.356.261
48 186.763 3.543.024
49 188.501 3.731.525
50 236.625 3.968.150
51 291.485 4.259.614
52 234.268 4.493.885


Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club