Last year Switch sold another 5.63m after Black Friday. So even if it was flat YoY, Switch will end the year 50.2m easily beating the Snes!
Black Friday week was up by 19% YoY, so if the rest of the year followed it'd end the year with 51.2m, but without the boost from Smash Bros 2018 got it's difficult to say whether this year will be Up, Flat or even slightly down. I don't really know what to expect!
But outselling the SNES by the end of the year is pretty much guaranteed. Should be anywhere from 49.9m-51.3m
20.3m - 21.7m sales for the year, I think I lost the bet. I don't see 2020 beating 2019 anymore. If it does it'll be very close.
Black Friday this year was a week later, so hard to judge if sales after it this year will be the same as last year. Obviously sales should be up for most weeks compared to last year. Other than Smash Bros. launch.
Lest we forget, the Switch is launching in China about a week from now, which would be a week later after Smash released on the Y-o-Y aligned chart.
This could offset the balance of the expected growth or decrease in the upcoming month for the Switch.
Early sources already has 100K pre-orders on one of the major e-commerce distributor.