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zorg1000 said:
trunkswd said:

They should easily beat their forecast for the current fiscal year. While all other platforms are in their twilight years, the Switch is still on its way up. 

I agree and I'm curious what they have in store for next year to keep momentum high.

The big holiday titles will make sure Winter sales are strong then Animal Crossing will move alot of units in Spring so I can see the first half of the year being up YoY but they are going to need to do alot to make sure sales dont start declining in the 2nd half.

This year had Mario Maker (last week of H1), Fire Emblem, 2D Zelda, Luigi's Mansion, Pokemon and a surprise hit in Ring Fit plus an improved model and a cheaper revision.

That's a stacked lineup to contend with so I expect the 2nd half of 2020 to be when we start seeing sales decline. Potential releases like BotW2 & Pokemon Gen 4 remakes will be big sellers and move hardware but diminishing returns will come into play so perhaps a price cut is in order (Hybrid-$249.99, Lite-$169.99).

Animal Crossing will move units. What will be the big release(s) in holiday 2020? That is tough to answer. I'd love to see Mario Odyssey 2 or a full blown Mario 64 remake. BotW2 is probably a bit further off. I wonder if a New Super Mario Bros. Switch makes sense or if Mario Maker 2 has satisfied the desire for 2D Mario games. A Pokemon remake would sell plenty as the series always has done. 

Nintendo likes making profits over its console sales, so a price cut next year only makes sense is if they can still profit. I'd see the Lite dropping to $180 and standard Switch dropping to $249, but not lower. More likely Nintendo does a bundle with MK8D than drops the price. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.