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Here's some blasts from the past.

Prediction, May 2005: Seventh-gen market share by end of 2010 to be "Microsoft at 30-35 percent, Sony at 45-55 percent, and Nintendo at what's left."

Verdict: Incorrect.
Based on VGC numbers, global market share was at about 46% for the Wii, 28% for the 360, and 26% for the PS3.

http://www.gamedaily.com/articles/features/wms-ps3-to-win-console-war-because-of-blu-ray/70379/?biz=1">Two Predictions, May 2007: PS3 to 'win' seventh generation by slim margin (excluding Japan sales) because of Blu-ray. Blu-ray to win format war over HD-DVD.

Verdicts: First prediction incorrect. Even excluding Japan, the Wii was the #1 console of last generation. Second prediction correct. Blu-ray won the HD format war. HD-DVD has been dead since 2008.

Prediction, June 2009: Wii to get price cut before holidays.

Verdict: Correct. The Wii was reduced $50 to $200 in the U.S. in September.



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