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Past Measurable Predictions:

  1. Prediction - December 27, 2013:  "We expect Sony's and Microsoft's new consoles to thrive over the next three years, with cumulative worldwide sales of 37.7 million PS4s by year end 2016" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: Correct in that it sold at least that.

  2. Prediction - March 24, 2009: "I think the PS3, 360 and Wii will be the last generation of consoles" (http://www.escapistmagazine.com/news/view/90443-Pachter-This-Is-The-Final-Generation) - Verdict: Incorrect.

  3. Prediction - December 27, 2013: "We expect Sony's and Microsoft's new consoles to thrive over the next three years, with cumulative worldwide sales of 29 million Xbox One consoles by year end 2016" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: Close.  25.5 million on VGChartz as of end of November.

  4. Prediction - December 27, 2013: "We do not expect Nintendo's Wii U to fare as well, with cumulative sales of under 20 million by 2016" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: Correct.

  5. Prediction - December 27, 2013: "We expect console prices to decline only modestly over the next three years, with PS4 pricing in the US dropping from $399 at launch to $299 by 2016" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: The PS4 bundle hit $250 in 2016.

  6. Prediction - December 27, 2013: "We expect console prices to decline only modestly over the next three years, with XBox One pricing in the US dropping from $499 at launch to $349 by 2016" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: The Xbox One can be found for cheaper, but he may have been including Kinect.

  7. Prediction - December 27, 2013: "We expect new release software pricing to remain at $59.99 in the US for the next three years" (http://kotaku.com/predictions-for-2016s-winners-and-losers-of-the-new-co-1490431773) - Verdict: Correct.

  8. Prediction - January 6, 2012: "Wii U to have poor third party support" (http://www.escapistmagazine.com/news/view/115097-Pachter-Predicts-Poor-Third-Party-Support-for-Wii-U) - Verdict: Correct

  9. Prediction - Several times up to E3 2017 "XBox Scorpio to Cost No More Than $399" (http://cogconnected.com/2017/06/michael-pachter-scorpio-399/) - Verdict: Incorrect
2017 Predictions:

Several made December 20th, 2016 at http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articles/2016-12-20-what-to-expect-in-the-games-biz-for-2017

1. PS4 Price to $199 within 2017 - Verdict: I'm going with Incorrect.  It did it $199 in some sales but I don't believe the ongoing price was $199.  However, they did make the default system 1TB instead of 500GB, so this one is debateable.

2. No Rockstar games other than Red Dead Redemption in 2017 - Verdict: Correct.  And not even Red Dead Redemption!

3. Call of Duty returns to glory (tough to measure): Verdict: Correct.  Call of Duty World War 2 did really well.
- Part two "With a Modern Warfare Title": Verdict: Incorrect.  It was World War 2.

4. Switch demand will be high.  The Switch will be sold out through September.  I believe this prediction as based on a price of $249. Verdict: Correct. Even at a higher price.

5. XBox Scorpio will be $399: Verdict: Incorrect.  It's more than that.

6. New Elder Scrolls in 2017 - Verdict: Incorrect

7. No New Half Life game in 2017 - Verdict: Correct

8. "Microsoft will continue to support their systems, including Scorpio, with first party games"
http://gamingbolt.com/scalebound-cancellation-is-unfortunate-xbox-scorpio-will-see-lot-of-first-and-third-party-support-pachterVerdict: Trending Poorly

Last edited by Miguel_Zorro - on 11 January 2018