More info: # We expect December U.S. retail video game console software sales data to be released after market close on Thursday, January 11. We forecast sales of $1.875 billion, up 15% compared to last year's $1.637 billion figure. # Our estimate reflects $927.5 million in sales contribution from new platforms (PS3, Wii, 360, PSP and DS), representing year-over-year growth of $600 million, or 183%. We expect current generation software sales of $947.5 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of $361 million (-28%). # There may be upside to our overall estimates if PS2 software sales are greater than our $668 million estimate, particularly if consumers opted for the lower priced current generation software. There may be some downside to our estimates if our $268 million estimate in combined software sales for the PS3 and the Wii is too high, particularly if low tie ratios from the "eBay effect" (hardware units sold for resale without accompanying software sales) was as pronounced as it was last month. # Sales growth over the last six months has averaged a robust 16%, and we continue to believe that contribution from next generation software sales will continue to grow on a year-over-year basis throughout 2007, more than offsetting moderate declines in current generation software sales.