How much competition did Halo 3 have? First person shooters like Call of Duty 4, Bioshock, The Orange Box, etc... What did Galaxy have for competition on the Wii? Umm....... I'm drawing the blank... The competition is very fierce on the 360 for hardcore games. On the Wii there're like one or two big hardcore games released every 6 months if that. And it's the same for SSBB, basically there will only be a few games to even compete with it (SMK comes to mind) while on the 360 and PS3 GTAIV is going to have to face many expensive high quality first, second, and third party titles.
Betting on lifetime sales is ridiculous because we won't find out the outcome for years. So I tell you what, lets make a real man's bet... 6 or 8 month sales.. You decide.. And of course we have to up the stakes for real men.. LIFETIME ban for the loser. It doesn't matter if the loser makes up a new account because there will still be the satisfaction of knowing that they were owned out of their previous one. So what do you say? 6 months? 8?
And no worries if you don't want to take the bet, sometimes people talk the talk but don't want to walk the walk. I have no doubts that GTAIV will outsell SSBB, none.
After I posted this:
SSBB will sell more units lifetime than GTAIV for 360 and PS3 combined.
GTAIV by a lot. I can't believe some people honestly think SSBB will sell more, LOL.
Emphasis on a lot. Which means no matter what the legs of SSBB would be, GTAIV would still win.
True, there's the possibility we couldn't find out for years which game is going to sell more, but the comparison between Halo 3 and SMG shows that it's possible to draw conclusions pretty early on whether or not it's possible for a game with legs to outsell the game with the strong opening week.
The real men talk doesn't bother me, I made it pretty clear right from the start that I want to bet on lifetime sales in this thread and in the last one. Just like the last time you try to back out. If you have no doubts that GTAIV will outsell SSBB, none, then that obviously should mean that you are certain that GTAIV is going to beat SSBB also in the long run. So if you really believe in what you say, you wouldn't have a problem to bet on lifetime sales. So are you man enough to take the bet?
The bet: SSBB lifetime sales will be higher than the lifetime sales of GTAIV for 360 and PS3 combined. The loser will be banned for a month and will have to keep the outcome of this bet in his signature forever.
After at most two years of both games being on the market it should be possible to draw a clear conclusion which of the games is going to end up with higher lifetime sales. So once it can be said for certain which game is going to sell more in the end, the bet comes due.