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Forums - Politics Discussion - Is Bidens campaign dead? (EDIT: Well, this was turned around completely.)

 

Is Biden's campaign no longer viable?

Yes, his campaign is dead! 31 46.27%
 
His campaign is badly hur... 15 22.39%
 
He will take a small hit,... 5 7.46%
 
No, this result will not hurt his campaign. 7 10.45%
 
Donald Trump will win the democratic primary! 9 13.43%
 
Total:67
EricHiggin said:
The President trying to use foreign assistance to dig up dirt on an opponent, Biden, and the media coverage of the entire scenario, is why Biden's campaign is failing.

Oh the irony.

I think it has more to do that he's running purely on "electability" and nothing else. But the people want change, not just to unseat Trump, but also change within the democratic party - and that's costing him a lot.



Dude has dementia, he shouldn't be running for that reason.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
EricHiggin said:
The President trying to use foreign assistance to dig up dirt on an opponent, Biden, and the media coverage of the entire scenario, is why Biden's campaign is failing.

Oh the irony.

I think it has more to do that he's running purely on "electability" and nothing else. But the people want change, not just to unseat Trump, but also change within the democratic party - and that's costing him a lot.

I don't disagree that he's focused on 'electability' way too much, and that's way to easy to focus attack's on. A one trick pony situation perhaps.

Did the people assume change when he first entered? Have they decided they want change now more than they did before? Was there anything that changed their minds? Doesn't it seem like the more Biden offers progressive type change, the weaker his standing?



Fivethirtyeight has updated it's forecast with the preliminary Iowa-data and the graph is most telling. This shows the probability of each candidate to win a majority of pledged delegates and how this probability moved over time. And look the tumble the line for Biden takes:

This is a major crisis for Bidens campaign.



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To early to tell, Biden supporters are not the super passionate type but don't under estimate there numbers but they not the type of people that show up to a caucus. New Hampshire for a number of reason not a good state for him also. South Carolina is what am waiting to see. If Biden don't win south Carolina and convincingly that a sign he in real trouble. If he don't do well super Tuesday then his candidacy is basically over.



Klobuchar and Yang (and everyone below them) need to drop out.

My guess is hes top 2 or 3 without those.

We may have a case that no candidate gets majority of delegates.



DarthJarvis said:
Klobuchar and Yang (and everyone below them) need to drop out.

My guess is hes top 2 or 3 without those.

We may have a case that no candidate gets majority of delegates.

It's more like Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Biden and Bloomberg are stealing each other's voters. As long as they are all running, neither will be able to beat Bernie.



Yep his campaign is dead. He under-performed so badly in Iowa polls showing him doing well are suspect at this point.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Mnementh said:

I think electoral college might fall in time, whoever wins the White House and congress:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Popular_Vote_Interstate_Compact

For those who don't want to read all this and prefer a good, informative video on NaPoVoInterCo (as CPD Grey puts it):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tUX-frlNBJY

Not a fan of that, It should be majority of seats won wins and not nationwide.

In Aus we have preferential voting (which limits a similar concept like that video but for that seat only)

https://www.sbs.com.au/news/explainer-what-is-preferential-voting


Essentially The most popular votes may not win because the person who come second gets preferential votes from the 3rd candidate, which puts them over the line.  Who get's what preferential votes is up to the citizens, however the parties at poling time give out how to vote cards which if people follow will cast those preferential votes to WHO the party wants and not who you want. A lot of people sadly don't understand how it works and follow the provided advice on how to vote lol.  



 

 

Between telling people to vote for other candidates if they question him and his more recent debate performance, I don't think his heart is into it anymore, to be honest. Perhaps it never was.