So you want to be a contender? Do you think you can out-estimate the analysts? Show off your predicting prowess in the VG Chartz Prediction League.
How to Play
Each week we will create prediction rounds for Japan, America and Others. In each round you must submit your predictions using our entry form for the mix of software and hardware provided for that round. VG Chartz will provide a list of software and hardware for players to predict sales of (generally expected to be the top performers for that week). To qualify for a given contest, your entry must be received before the closing date. Occasionally, VG Chartz will post some one-off prediction rounds covering sales over a quarter or a year. These rounds can be entered in exactly the same way as the weekly rounds.
Betting on your predictions
Each prediction you make per round has a minimum bet that you must place of vg$5. For predictions you feel more confident about you can bet more against, for predictions you are less confident about you should bet the mimimum amount. Your total bet amount over the predictions in a round cannot exceed your current wealth - i.e it cannot make you bankrupt to place the bet.
Think wisely about your predictions - use the charting and comparison tools provided by the website to look over historical data and place your money wisely on the predictions you think will pay out the most!
Your Winnings
Winnings are determined by your prediction accuracy. Prediction accuracy for a each prediction is calculated as the difference between your prediction and actual figure / actual figure. The prediction accuracy for each prediction is divided by the average accuracy across all users for that prediction and then this ratio is multiplied by your bet on that prediction. This is totalled up over the 15 predictions. An example is the best way to illustrate. Example:
You predict a game will sell 175,000 copies for the week and the game actually sells 200,000. So, we take the difference between your prediction and the actual sales and divide it by the actual sales 25,000 / 200,000. The result, 0.125, represents the percentage your prediction was off from the actual (12.5% off). Subtracting this number from 1 (one represents being wholly accurate) tells us how close or accurate your prediction is to the actual: 1 - 0.125 = 0.875 or 87.5% accurate. Note that if your prediction is off by more than the actual amount (i.e., off by more than 100%), your accuracy will be 0% representing the fact that you were simply not accurate in your prediction (e.g., you predict 100,000 and the actual is 30,000). Your accuracy is then divided by the average accuracy for that prediction, in this case say 50% (100,000 as the average prediction) to give (87.5/50) then multiplied by your original bet. So if you bet vg$10 on this prediction, you would win 10 x (87.5/50) = vg$17.50 (a net profit of vg$7.50 against the original bet). This is repeated across all your bets and totalled up.
VG Chartz will post the results of each round, one week after the actual data for that period has been posted on the site (to give time for any adjustments to the actual data). Once your bets have been cashed in, changes will not be made if adjustments are made to the actual data on the site later on. VG Chartz will be the sole determinant of player accuracy and scores. We reserve the right to disqualify anyone from the leauge for any reason.
Questions about the contest should be directed to http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=235335 or any League Admin
Quicklink towards main prediction page :
http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions/
where do i submit my predictions, and where is the information stating what I'm predicting on?
On the frontpage click on the prediction league header., then you will arrive on http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Next step is choose a round to enter, which currently displays only one option right now weekly wordwide chart 14th april 2018 http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions/enter.php?game=259
Which filled in looks like this
When does a round close and how can i see that?
When you enter a round on the page you fill in your predictions a closing day will be mentioned
As a great reminder open rounds are green, rounds that will close in 2 days will turn orange and rounds closed for predictions will turn red.
Once the payout has been done rounds will turn black.
Rule of thumb rounds close Thursday 14.00 ( GMT +2, Amsterdam ), 14.00 in CEST (UTC+2) which means it closes 12.00 in GMT
Tip if you dont know what to predict
Just take a look at the charts and see if you can make out a trend or an average from previous weeks, or possibly last year or games from a similair genre.
How do I turn off the notifications to this?
Profile Settings -> Preferences -> "Receive Notifications for the following events:"
Where are the software rounds?
i'm waiting with software untill some things are done that will speed up the process.
Currently if i do a hardware only round lets take round one for the week of 14 april it closed the 11th and normal numbers should be know next week before the 27th unless there is a delay like there is this week.
that means the waiting period is 27th april- 11th april = +- 16 days
now lets take a round with software the USA weekly chart with software for 3 march ( if there was a round that round would have closed on the first of march ) was released on 17th of april
that means the waiting period is 17th april - 1st march = +- 49 days
that means before a rounds payout with software is done it takes a month extra
Once this is familiar for everyone, i could do a HW only round and a SW+HW round in the same week
Suggestions :
-bonus from the next round for the person that gets closer on a single prediction
Standings after Round 1:
Total Winnings 5714 vg$ (5668 vg$ considering losses)
Total Bets: 22210 vg$
Total Participants: 56
Bets over 1k: 6
Average Bet : 397 vg$
Average Winnings Per User: 101 vg$
Average Winnings Ratio: 19,36%
Average Accuracy: 75,04%
Meadian Bet: 135 vg$
Meadian Winnings: 24 vg$
Meadian Winnings Ratio: 22,03%
Meadian Accuracy: 78,40%
Ranking overall (sum of placements in the other 3 rankings)
rank |
username |
sum points |
1 |
Aka-Gami |
16 |
1 |
Machina |
16 |
3 |
derpysquirtle64 |
19 |
4 |
Marth |
21 |
5 |
ironmanDX |
23 |
6 |
cycycychris |
26 |
7 |
|
27 |
8 |
kirby007 |
31 |
9 |
melbye |
35 |
10 |
Carl |
36 |
11 |
Ka-pi96 |
37 |
12 |
fory77 |
43 |
12 |
TalonMan |
43 |
14 |
Welfare |
44 |
15 |
RedKingXIII |
45 |
16 |
VGPolyglot |
55 |
17 |
AngryLittleAlchemist |
59 |
17 |
zygote |
59 |
19 |
Stuart23 |
63 |
20 |
palou |
65 |
21 |
AnmolRed |
71 |
22 |
EmotionalMongoose |
75 |
23 |
horenkind |
77 |
24 |
PSintend0 |
78 |
24 |
setsunatenshi |
78 |
26 |
Dark_Lord_2008 |
80 |
26 |
Mnementh |
80 |
28 |
ryuzaki57 |
81 |
28 |
Slarvax |
81 |
30 |
morenoIngrato |
84 |
31 |
LinkDaHero |
87 |
32 |
theDX |
88 |
33 |
WoodenPints |
92 |
34 |
hiccupthehuman |
97 |
35 |
ninjapirate42 |
98 |
36 |
S.Peelman |
100 |
36 |
Ucouldntbemorewrong |
100 |
38 |
Bofferbrauer2 |
101 |
39 |
AntonTeiosanu |
104 |
40 |
RodrigoCard |
109 |
41 |
Mr.Playstation |
110 |
42 |
Kerotan |
113 |
43 |
dravenmanson |
117 |
44 |
forest-spirit |
122 |
45 |
jason1637 |
128 |
45 |
NeverEndingStory |
128 |
47 |
JSG87 |
136 |
47 |
Luke888 |
136 |
49 |
Thaddaeus02 |
137 |
50 |
KingoftheBRUCE |
138 |
51 |
Harkins1721 |
148 |
52 |
ABizzel1 |
157 |
53 |
Marach |
158 |
54 |
Darwinianevolution |
164 |
54 |
xytherion |
164 |
56 |
fedfed |
167 |
Winnings ranking
rank |
username |
bet |
winnings |
accuracy |
winpercent |
1 |
|
3430 vg$ |
1049 vg$ |
82,30% |
30,58% |
2 |
Marth |
2500 vg$ |
708 vg$ |
85,48% |
28,32% |
3 |
kirby007 |
1550 vg$ |
587 vg$ |
80,41% |
37,87% |
4 |
Machina |
1600 vg$ |
579 vg$ |
86,36% |
36,19% |
5 |
VGPolyglot |
1800 vg$ |
489 vg$ |
76,51% |
27,17% |
6 |
Carl |
580 vg$ |
282 vg$ |
78,30% |
48,62% |
7 |
Ka-pi96 |
725 vg$ |
249 vg$ |
81,71% |
34,34% |
8 |
Aka-Gami |
500 vg$ |
182 vg$ |
92,91% |
36,40% |
9 |
cycycychris |
390 vg$ |
160 vg$ |
82,65% |
41,03% |
10 |
fory77 |
500 vg$ |
128 vg$ |
83,10% |
25,60% |
11 |
Slarvax |
750 vg$ |
127 vg$ |
76,92% |
16,93% |
12 |
derpysquirtle64 |
305 vg$ |
125 vg$ |
87,07% |
40,98% |
13 |
LinkDaHero |
500 vg$ |
84 vg$ |
74,98% |
16,80% |
14 |
ironmanDX |
195 vg$ |
81 vg$ |
85,25% |
41,54% |
15 |
WoodenPints |
500 vg$ |
80 vg$ |
74,37% |
16,00% |
16 |
dravenmanson |
1230 vg$ |
74 vg$ |
60,06% |
6,02% |
17 |
Ucouldntbemorewrong |
550 vg$ |
69 vg$ |
72,50% |
12,55% |
18 |
Welfare |
175 vg$ |
65 vg$ |
81,94% |
37,14% |
19 |
TalonMan |
225 vg$ |
61 vg$ |
85,16% |
27,11% |
20 |
Dark_Lord_2008 |
230 vg$ |
58 vg$ |
74,61% |
25,22% |
21 |
AntonTeiosanu |
420 vg$ |
51 vg$ |
74,13% |
12,14% |
22 |
melbye |
125 vg$ |
38 vg$ |
87,17% |
30,40% |
23 |
RedKingXIII |
110 vg$ |
33 vg$ |
83,40% |
30,00% |
24 |
Stuart23 |
145 vg$ |
32 vg$ |
83,33% |
22,07% |
25 |
ryuzaki57 |
150 vg$ |
31 vg$ |
79,15% |
20,67% |
26 |
morenoIngrato |
130 vg$ |
29 vg$ |
77,98% |
22,31% |
27 |
setsunatenshi |
105 vg$ |
27 vg$ |
77,66% |
25,71% |
28 |
NeverEndingStory |
995 vg$ |
26 vg$ |
64,98% |
2,61% |
29 |
theDX |
100 vg$ |
22 vg$ |
78,24% |
22,00% |
30 |
Mr.Playstation |
140 vg$ |
21 vg$ |
73,97% |
15,00% |
31 |
jason1637 |
180 vg$ |
18 vg$ |
61,89% |
10,00% |
32 |
AnmolRed |
55 vg$ |
14 vg$ |
82,04% |
25,45% |
33 |
AngryLittleAlchemist |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
83,95% |
26,00% |
33 |
palou |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
82,49% |
26,00% |
35 |
EmotionalMongoose |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,27% |
24,00% |
35 |
horenkind |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,01% |
24,00% |
35 |
Mnementh |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
81,02% |
24,00% |
38 |
Kerotan |
80 vg$ |
10 vg$ |
77,05% |
12,50% |
39 |
forest-spirit |
55 vg$ |
8 vg$ |
72,28% |
14,55% |
40 |
PSintend0 |
30 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
83,16% |
23,33% |
40 |
zygote |
25 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
86,31% |
28,00% |
42 |
Bofferbrauer2 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,50% |
20,00% |
42 |
hiccupthehuman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,70% |
20,00% |
42 |
JSG87 |
50 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
67,63% |
10,00% |
42 |
ninjapirate42 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,20% |
20,00% |
42 |
RodrigoCard |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
76,11% |
20,00% |
42 |
S.Peelman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,54% |
20,00% |
48 |
KingoftheBRUCE |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
69,60% |
12,00% |
48 |
Luke888 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
71,09% |
12,00% |
48 |
Thaddaeus02 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
70,33% |
12,00% |
51 |
Harkins1721 |
30 vg$ |
2 vg$ |
66,79% |
6,67% |
52 |
Marach |
50 vg$ |
-1 vg$ |
57,15% |
-2,00% |
53 |
ABizzel1 |
250 vg$ |
-3 vg$ |
58,81% |
-1,20% |
54 |
xytherion |
25 vg$ |
-5 vg$ |
39,96% |
-20,00% |
55 |
fedfed |
25 vg$ |
-16 vg$ |
0,00% |
-64,00% |
56 |
Darwinianevolution |
250 vg$ |
-21 vg$ |
51,97% |
-8,40% |
Winpercent ranking
rank |
username |
bet |
winnings |
accuracy |
winpercent |
1 |
Carl |
580 vg$ |
282 vg$ |
78,30% |
48,62% |
2 |
ironmanDX |
195 vg$ |
81 vg$ |
85,25% |
41,54% |
3 |
cycycychris |
390 vg$ |
160 vg$ |
82,65% |
41,03% |
4 |
derpysquirtle64 |
305 vg$ |
125 vg$ |
87,07% |
40,98% |
5 |
kirby007 |
1550 vg$ |
587 vg$ |
80,41% |
37,87% |
6 |
Welfare |
175 vg$ |
65 vg$ |
81,94% |
37,14% |
7 |
Aka-Gami |
500 vg$ |
182 vg$ |
92,91% |
36,40% |
8 |
Machina |
1600 vg$ |
579 vg$ |
86,36% |
36,19% |
9 |
Ka-pi96 |
725 vg$ |
249 vg$ |
81,71% |
34,34% |
10 |
|
3430 vg$ |
1049 vg$ |
82,30% |
30,58% |
11 |
melbye |
125 vg$ |
38 vg$ |
87,17% |
30,40% |
12 |
RedKingXIII |
110 vg$ |
33 vg$ |
83,40% |
30,00% |
13 |
Marth |
2500 vg$ |
708 vg$ |
85,48% |
28,32% |
14 |
zygote |
25 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
86,31% |
28,00% |
15 |
VGPolyglot |
1800 vg$ |
489 vg$ |
76,51% |
27,17% |
16 |
TalonMan |
225 vg$ |
61 vg$ |
85,16% |
27,11% |
17 |
AngryLittleAlchemist |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
83,95% |
26,00% |
17 |
palou |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
82,49% |
26,00% |
19 |
setsunatenshi |
105 vg$ |
27 vg$ |
77,66% |
25,71% |
20 |
fory77 |
500 vg$ |
128 vg$ |
83,10% |
25,60% |
21 |
AnmolRed |
55 vg$ |
14 vg$ |
82,04% |
25,45% |
22 |
Dark_Lord_2008 |
230 vg$ |
58 vg$ |
74,61% |
25,22% |
23 |
EmotionalMongoose |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,27% |
24,00% |
23 |
horenkind |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,01% |
24,00% |
23 |
Mnementh |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
81,02% |
24,00% |
26 |
PSintend0 |
30 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
83,16% |
23,33% |
27 |
morenoIngrato |
130 vg$ |
29 vg$ |
77,98% |
22,31% |
28 |
Stuart23 |
145 vg$ |
32 vg$ |
83,33% |
22,07% |
29 |
theDX |
100 vg$ |
22 vg$ |
78,24% |
22,00% |
30 |
ryuzaki57 |
150 vg$ |
31 vg$ |
79,15% |
20,67% |
31 |
Bofferbrauer2 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,50% |
20,00% |
31 |
hiccupthehuman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,70% |
20,00% |
31 |
ninjapirate42 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,20% |
20,00% |
31 |
RodrigoCard |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
76,11% |
20,00% |
31 |
S.Peelman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,54% |
20,00% |
36 |
Slarvax |
750 vg$ |
127 vg$ |
76,92% |
16,93% |
37 |
LinkDaHero |
500 vg$ |
84 vg$ |
74,98% |
16,80% |
38 |
WoodenPints |
500 vg$ |
80 vg$ |
74,37% |
16,00% |
39 |
Mr.Playstation |
140 vg$ |
21 vg$ |
73,97% |
15,00% |
40 |
forest-spirit |
55 vg$ |
8 vg$ |
72,28% |
14,55% |
41 |
Ucouldntbemorewrong |
550 vg$ |
69 vg$ |
72,50% |
12,55% |
42 |
Kerotan |
80 vg$ |
10 vg$ |
77,05% |
12,50% |
43 |
AntonTeiosanu |
420 vg$ |
51 vg$ |
74,13% |
12,14% |
44 |
KingoftheBRUCE |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
69,60% |
12,00% |
44 |
Luke888 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
71,09% |
12,00% |
44 |
Thaddaeus02 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
70,33% |
12,00% |
47 |
jason1637 |
180 vg$ |
18 vg$ |
61,89% |
10,00% |
47 |
JSG87 |
50 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
67,63% |
10,00% |
49 |
Harkins1721 |
30 vg$ |
2 vg$ |
66,79% |
6,67% |
50 |
dravenmanson |
1230 vg$ |
74 vg$ |
60,06% |
6,02% |
51 |
NeverEndingStory |
995 vg$ |
26 vg$ |
64,98% |
2,61% |
52 |
ABizzel1 |
250 vg$ |
-3 vg$ |
58,81% |
-1,20% |
53 |
Marach |
50 vg$ |
-1 vg$ |
57,15% |
-2,00% |
54 |
Darwinianevolution |
250 vg$ |
-21 vg$ |
51,97% |
-8,40% |
55 |
xytherion |
25 vg$ |
-5 vg$ |
39,96% |
-20,00% |
56 |
fedfed |
25 vg$ |
-16 vg$ |
0,00% |
-64,00% |
Accuracy Ranking
rank |
username |
bet |
winnings |
accuracy |
winpercent |
1 |
Aka-Gami |
500 vg$ |
182 vg$ |
92,91% |
36,40% |
2 |
melbye |
125 vg$ |
38 vg$ |
87,17% |
30,40% |
3 |
derpysquirtle64 |
305 vg$ |
125 vg$ |
87,07% |
40,98% |
4 |
Machina |
1600 vg$ |
579 vg$ |
86,36% |
36,19% |
5 |
zygote |
25 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
86,31% |
28,00% |
6 |
Marth |
2500 vg$ |
708 vg$ |
85,48% |
28,32% |
7 |
ironmanDX |
195 vg$ |
81 vg$ |
85,25% |
41,54% |
8 |
TalonMan |
225 vg$ |
61 vg$ |
85,16% |
27,11% |
9 |
AngryLittleAlchemist |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
83,95% |
26,00% |
10 |
RedKingXIII |
110 vg$ |
33 vg$ |
83,40% |
30,00% |
11 |
Stuart23 |
145 vg$ |
32 vg$ |
83,33% |
22,07% |
12 |
PSintend0 |
30 vg$ |
7 vg$ |
83,16% |
23,33% |
13 |
fory77 |
500 vg$ |
128 vg$ |
83,10% |
25,60% |
14 |
cycycychris |
390 vg$ |
160 vg$ |
82,65% |
41,03% |
15 |
palou |
50 vg$ |
13 vg$ |
82,49% |
26,00% |
16 |
|
3430 vg$ |
1049 vg$ |
82,30% |
30,58% |
17 |
EmotionalMongoose |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,27% |
24,00% |
18 |
AnmolRed |
55 vg$ |
14 vg$ |
82,04% |
25,45% |
19 |
horenkind |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
82,01% |
24,00% |
20 |
Welfare |
175 vg$ |
65 vg$ |
81,94% |
37,14% |
21 |
Ka-pi96 |
725 vg$ |
249 vg$ |
81,71% |
34,34% |
22 |
Mnementh |
50 vg$ |
12 vg$ |
81,02% |
24,00% |
23 |
kirby007 |
1550 vg$ |
587 vg$ |
80,41% |
37,87% |
24 |
hiccupthehuman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,70% |
20,00% |
25 |
ninjapirate42 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
79,20% |
20,00% |
26 |
ryuzaki57 |
150 vg$ |
31 vg$ |
79,15% |
20,67% |
27 |
S.Peelman |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,54% |
20,00% |
28 |
Bofferbrauer2 |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
78,50% |
20,00% |
29 |
Carl |
580 vg$ |
282 vg$ |
78,30% |
48,62% |
30 |
theDX |
100 vg$ |
22 vg$ |
78,24% |
22,00% |
31 |
morenoIngrato |
130 vg$ |
29 vg$ |
77,98% |
22,31% |
32 |
setsunatenshi |
105 vg$ |
27 vg$ |
77,66% |
25,71% |
33 |
Kerotan |
80 vg$ |
10 vg$ |
77,05% |
12,50% |
34 |
Slarvax |
750 vg$ |
127 vg$ |
76,92% |
16,93% |
35 |
VGPolyglot |
1800 vg$ |
489 vg$ |
76,51% |
27,17% |
36 |
RodrigoCard |
25 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
76,11% |
20,00% |
37 |
LinkDaHero |
500 vg$ |
84 vg$ |
74,98% |
16,80% |
38 |
Dark_Lord_2008 |
230 vg$ |
58 vg$ |
74,61% |
25,22% |
39 |
WoodenPints |
500 vg$ |
80 vg$ |
74,37% |
16,00% |
40 |
AntonTeiosanu |
420 vg$ |
51 vg$ |
74,13% |
12,14% |
41 |
Mr.Playstation |
140 vg$ |
21 vg$ |
73,97% |
15,00% |
42 |
Ucouldntbemorewrong |
550 vg$ |
69 vg$ |
72,50% |
12,55% |
43 |
forest-spirit |
55 vg$ |
8 vg$ |
72,28% |
14,55% |
44 |
Luke888 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
71,09% |
12,00% |
45 |
Thaddaeus02 |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
70,33% |
12,00% |
46 |
KingoftheBRUCE |
25 vg$ |
3 vg$ |
69,60% |
12,00% |
47 |
JSG87 |
50 vg$ |
5 vg$ |
67,63% |
10,00% |
48 |
Harkins1721 |
30 vg$ |
2 vg$ |
66,79% |
6,67% |
49 |
NeverEndingStory |
995 vg$ |
26 vg$ |
64,98% |
2,61% |
50 |
jason1637 |
180 vg$ |
18 vg$ |
61,89% |
10,00% |
51 |
dravenmanson |
1230 vg$ |
74 vg$ |
60,06% |
6,02% |
52 |
ABizzel1 |
250 vg$ |
-3 vg$ |
58,81% |
-1,20% |
53 |
Marach |
50 vg$ |
-1 vg$ |
57,15% |
-2,00% |
54 |
Darwinianevolution |
250 vg$ |
-21 vg$ |
51,97% |
-8,40% |
55 |
xytherion |
25 vg$ |
-5 vg$ |
39,96% |
-20,00% |
56 |
fedfed |
25 vg$ |
-16 vg$ |
0,00% |
-64,00% |
Corresponding round
How you can gain more vg$ :
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8767361
Last edited by kirby007 - on 03 May 2018
"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007
Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.