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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How much will Zelda Wii sell?

Bamboleo said:
Zelda is Zelda.

I would be nice to end up over the 12M bar...

I even can see this game as a reason to the "hardcore" crowd to jump in the Wii through 2011 and 2012.

I predict great legs for this because there will be no game like it anywhere else and it will take too long for PS3 to get a game like this for the dildo... if it gets.

 

Woooooooooooooooooooooooooooow! REEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAALLY? I ALWAYS THOUGHT THAT ZELDA WAS SONIC!

 

12M? The best selling Zelda game is OoT, 7.6m, and i don't think Zelda Wii will surpass Ocarina of Time. That's my opinion.



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Asriel said:
I expect the minimum it can hit will be 7 million, but it could go as high as 10 million. A large installed base, hype with it being a new form of Zelda, a possible Christmas launch and a large advertising campaign from Nintendo could help it on the way to 10 million.

It largely depends on the marketing backing Nintendo gives this game. The wider market needs to be aware something BIG is coming to Wii-core gamers will buy this in their droves, especially if it moves the series forward and has a hype machine behind it, but Nintendo will need their expanded audience behind this to make it the biggest Zelda yet.

Agree with this. It'll fall right into Galaxy's range, no less than 7 or more than 10



Monster Hunter: pissing me off since 2010.

A lot of you are exremely overestimating this game's sales. Here are some factors that usually hurt sales:

-The first installment of a series usually sells better than upcoming ones, so it'll be hard to beat TP for this game.
-Usage of the Wii Motion Plus could be hurting, it doesn't have though.
-Unlike the successful bridge games that were either Mario or new franchises, Zelda is either not known to casuals at all, or worse, known as a hardcore franchise that isn't for them
-the two DS games that had that bridgey approach didn't sell more than other games in the franchise, Spirit Tracks seems to sell even worse than PH.


All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

If Nintendo is able to create a revolutionary game that still feels like a Zelda (As they did with OoT), they might be able to reach the 7-8 million range. I think everything north of 8 million is completely illusionary.



Currently Playing: Skies of Arcadia Legends (GC), Dragon Quest IV (DS)

Last Game beaten: The Rub Rabbits(DS)

Since the Zelda franchise is declining saleswise, I´d say it´ll sell something between WW and TP. However, if Nintendo really changes a few things to make it not "only" a new perfect version of Zelda, it will probably sell more than TP. I hope for the latter to happen.



nintendo_fanboy said:
All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

 

Hopefully the excellent Link's Crossbow Training was the casual Zelda game.  It will sell over 5 million but I doubt it will pass the Wii version of The Legend of Zelda.



 

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First week will break 1 million and will end up with 8 million worldwide.



ok 1-14mil lol
I see a 9-10mil actually and stronger sales in japan now...



Gonna have to disagree a bit.

nintendo_fanboy said:
A lot of you are exremely overestimating this game's sales. Here are some factors that usually hurt sales:

-The first installment of a series usually sells better than upcoming ones, so it'll be hard to beat TP for this game.
-The second installment can and usually will outsell the first with the addition of an important new feature. Halo 2 beat Halo 1 because of the addition of online multiplayer. Zelda Wii will have motion plus.
-Usage of the Wii Motion Plus could be hurting, it doesn't have though.
-They'll bundle it. Problem solved.
-Unlike the successful bridge games that were either Mario or new franchises, Zelda is either not known to casuals at all, or worse, known as a hardcore franchise that isn't for them
-I know it's anecdotal, but I know plenty of people who loved the original Zelda on the NES. It's at least known and appreciated by lapsed gamers.
-the two DS games that had that bridgey approach didn't sell more than other games in the franchise, Spirit Tracks seems to sell even worse than PH.
-Harder to agrue with this one. But handhelds aren't consoles.


All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

If Nintendo is able to create a revolutionary game that still feels like a Zelda (As they did with OoT), they might be able to reach the 7-8 million range. I think everything north of 8 million is completely illusionary.


Mario Kart Wii made a good bridge game. If Zelda Wii can get back to the basics I doubt it can't do the same.



"Now, a fun game should always be easy to understand - you should be able to take one look at it and know what you have to do straight away. It should be so well constructed that you can tell at a glance what your goal is and, even if you don’t succeed, you’ll blame yourself rather than the game. Moreover, the people standing around watching the game have also got to be able to enjoy it." - Shiggy

A Koopa's Revenge II gameplay video

Diglet said:

Im gonna say 800k opening 6.5 mil in total.

i thought you where gonna say 800k lifetime for a second lol




burgerstein said:
Gonna have to disagree a bit.

nintendo_fanboy said:
A lot of you are exremely overestimating this game's sales. Here are some factors that usually hurt sales:

-The first installment of a series usually sells better than upcoming ones, so it'll be hard to beat TP for this game.
-The second installment can and usually will outsell the first with the addition of an important new feature. Halo 2 beat Halo 1 because of the addition of online multiplayer. Zelda Wii will have motion plus.
-Usage of the Wii Motion Plus could be hurting, it doesn't have though.
-They'll bundle it. Problem solved.
-Unlike the successful bridge games that were either Mario or new franchises, Zelda is either not known to casuals at all, or worse, known as a hardcore franchise that isn't for them
-I know it's anecdotal, but I know plenty of people who loved the original Zelda on the NES. It's at least known and appreciated by lapsed gamers.
-the two DS games that had that bridgey approach didn't sell more than other games in the franchise, Spirit Tracks seems to sell even worse than PH.
-Harder to agrue with this one. But handhelds aren't consoles.


All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

If Nintendo is able to create a revolutionary game that still feels like a Zelda (As they did with OoT), they might be able to reach the 7-8 million range. I think everything north of 8 million is completely illusionary.


Mario Kart Wii made a good bridge game. If Zelda Wii can get back to the basics I doubt it can't do the same.

I agree with your first two arguments to the point that this factors could lead either way.

I just think that some gaming concepts work fine for bridge games, while others don't. The whole point about Zelda is that it is epic. Casual games like Wii Sports are exactly the opposite. Bridge games like Mario Kart can be both, you can have epic grand prix or you can just have a single race.
I don't see how you can create Zelda to make it fun to play it in small portions, you have to sit down and play for an hour at least to get the feeling and the fun. That is why Zelda isn't a bridge game.



Currently Playing: Skies of Arcadia Legends (GC), Dragon Quest IV (DS)

Last Game beaten: The Rub Rabbits(DS)