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Forums - Sales Discussion - Which will be the first to hit 50 million (HD consoles only)

riecsou said:
phinch1 said:
riecsou said:
50 Millions?, definitely Xbox360. It is so much closer and can easily get to that number in a year and 9 months . And I don't think that PS3 will overtake the Xbox360 in just 1 year and 9 months. Unless the PS3 slim can still surprise us.

Its surprised all of us this year, many times, I want reasons though, why will it sell so well?

PS3 will continue to sell very well in my opinion. But everyone should expect a Price cut from Microsoft. I just don't see the PS3 taking over the Xbox360 in such a short time. And everytime PS3 closes the gap with the Xbox360, Microsoft answers with a price cut and the gap increases again: http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=96279&page=1&str=884094893#

I like that chart, thanks for pointing that out for me, but the effect of the slim hasnt certainly not finished yet, that gap will easily get to 2.5 million before Microsoft does anything about it.



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Well I think PS3 will win this generation(HD Consoles only), but I think it won't be until 2012 that the PS3 overtakes 360 in hardware sales.

at roughly 12.5m a year for PS3 and 10m a year for 360

End of 2009
PS3: 31m
Xbox 360: 36m

End of 2010
PS3: 43.5m
Xbox 360: 46m

End of 2011
PS3: 56m
Xbox 360: 56m

End of 2012:
The world ends...
Haha just kidding
PS3: 68.5m
Xbox 360: 66m

So my conclusion is that if this current trend continues as I showed Xbox 360 will make it to 50m first but not by much...



2010 Hardware Sales Predictions

Wii: 20m- Sales will drop, but not by much.

PS3: 13.5m- It sold 12m in 2009, its only common sense it will sell more this year.

Xbox 360: 11m- It sold 11m in 2008 and 2009, I think it will sell the same.

My Fanboy Speech...

Why do you have to make excuses to defend a product that you purchased, but that's the only connection you have to it, you don't make it, you don't lose or gain money on it. I don't see where all of the defensiveness comes in, there is no reason for you or anybody else to feel obligated to defend it. Now I would understand if one of you were a developer for the product and you slaved over said product only to hear somebody call it stupid or a piece of junk. But none of you developed it, none of you are mature enough to realize that. Choosing a product all comes down to preference, you chose said product because it is best for you. Simple as that!

phinch1 said:
riecsou said:
phinch1 said:
riecsou said:
50 Millions?, definitely Xbox360. It is so much closer and can easily get to that number in a year and 9 months . And I don't think that PS3 will overtake the Xbox360 in just 1 year and 9 months. Unless the PS3 slim can still surprise us.

Its surprised all of us this year, many times, I want reasons though, why will it sell so well?

PS3 will continue to sell very well in my opinion. But everyone should expect a Price cut from Microsoft. I just don't see the PS3 taking over the Xbox360 in such a short time. And everytime PS3 closes the gap with the Xbox360, Microsoft answers with a price cut and the gap increases again: http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=96279&page=1&str=884094893#

I like that chart, thanks for pointing that out for me, but the effect of the slim hasnt certainly not finished yet, that gap will easily get to 2.5 million before Microsoft does anything about it.

True, the gap could easily get to 2.5 million before Microsoft does anything about it. Let us not forget that Microsoft had to force a price cut over the Elite when the $300 Slim was out. So I think it will take them some time before making another price cut since i think the last one was forced on them



X360
a) It still has a 5.7m lead on the PS3, and is much closer to the 50m milestone
b) It still has a $100 price difference than the PS3--with a potential price-cut for the Elite late next year
c)It still sells very well in the US and UK--arguably the two biggest gaming markets
d)Natal has gotten alot attention and buzz since its unveiling E3 09
e)Halo Reach



End of 2016 prediction

PS4:43M-46M

XBONE:28M-33M

I think X360 will reach 50m first, but PS3 will be fairly close behind.
The X360's current lead is a real big advantage and it will probably get a price cut late next year to try to stem PS3's current momentum. Even if the PS3 outsells the X360, it likely won't be a big enough figure to trim down the lead fast enough to overtake the 360 before it reaches 50m. Also I think Natal will be more successful than the gem/wand/whatever so that is a plus for the 360. The Slim may have surprised us so far, but the 360 can too.

I think it will probably be something like 360 - 50m, PS3 - ~47m. Maybe sometime late 2011/early 2012



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Xbox 360, I think the PS3 will make up a lot of ground for most of 2010 but after Natal is released it's game over for the PS3. Expect the Xbox 360's best November and December hardware numbers ever in 2010.



I think it will be the successor to the Wii which will probably launch in 2011.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Unless PS3 gains ground in the US, it will be 360. But then again, the holidays have shown that losing the US does not equate with game over for a console.

I'll go for 360 because of its current lead.



My gut reaction was the 360 would get there first. Based mostly around the reasoning Rol gave in his first post. As ususal when Rol has something serious to say there is usually plenty to agree with. I've not read anything here that convinces me PS3 will overtake 360 before 50 million sold (if ever while the 360 is actively selling).

I think there is every chance both consoles will make it and I think PS3 will be hot on 360's heels. Making this generation the highest selling generation ever. Partly due to Wii's blue ocean strategy, but also because I think there are far more people buying 2 or even 3 consoles than in previous generations. Like it or not, there is a perception that the Wii is for the kids and Mum (Wii Fit), and the HD consoles are for the male grown-ups / older teens. All the families I know that have a Wii + a HD console got the Wii for the little kids and the HD console for the big kid (the Dad). It's a gross generalisation and it may not be the majority perception, but it is certainly a big enough perception to influence HW sales, I think.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

If you play MW2 on XBOX360 you will find out why XBOX360 is going to hit this target first...

*Yesterday 900K gamers were playing this game (online) in the same time...

Just 14 millions away from this goal, just...