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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Xbox 360 Sales & Discussion Charts: October 27th

After some delay, the charts:

Mind you, Just_Ben made a HTML parser for the charts so they can be automated, but unfortunately, I cannot access it for some odd reason.

This Wk  Last Wk NameWk Sales  Total Sales% Drop  Wks in Release Expected LTD
 #1 #1 Halo 3 142,891 4,080,725 -25.2% 4 9,500,000
 #2 ---- Ace Combat 6 111,056 111,056 --- 1 750,000
 #3 ---- Jericho 53,791 53,791 --- 1 225,000
 #4 #2 HL2: Orange Box 46,590 390,376 -44.0% 3 1,000,000
 #5 ---- Conan 27,411 27,411 ---- 1 150,000 
 #6 #4 NBA 2k8 22,338 196,396 -23.9% 4 550,000
 #7 #5 .skate 21,800 250,763 -18.1% 7 500,000
 #8 #8 Madden 08 16,429 1,196,603 -13.7% 11 2,000,000
 #9 #6 FIFA 08 15,617 87,263 -39.8% 3 200,000
 #10 #7 TH: Proving Ground 14,358 39,071 -42.2% 2 175,000

 

A few notes:

#1 Halo continues to be.....Halo 1, and not Halo 2. It has a decent 4th week, with a 25% drop. At this point, a drop like that is normal for a game, but with 4m units sold stateside, its a very, very good number. I still expect near 6m sold by EOY. However, we should start to see Halo stay below 100% attach rates, and hold below it for the rest of the year - therefore, dont expect sales above 250k any week for the rest of the year...But should be close to it.

#2. Ace Combat has a great debut. Not the ultra-typical game, this is Namco's best opening stateside. Should wind up doing good for Christmas. Namco should be happy with these numbers if true, and 500k is a bare minimum for sales (if it was a horrible drop from now on).

#3 & #5 - Jericho & Conan - Meh. Both did pathetically for o/w. I thought Jericho might get a good bit of sales, ala Darkness, but wound up with much closer to Hour of Victory. Conan did bad too. Both could get decent multipliers if enough new users came onboard, and the Halo-kids decided to pick up good software.

#4. Half Life has another decent drop. Since it's a PC-heavy shooter, I think theres a niche basis for such a game, expecially in the wake of Halo 3. But, it should do well during late November and December.

#6-#10. Sports games. Only .skate and Madden are beastly. Both are doing fantastic. Madden is still 20% ahead of last year, and .skate is doing superb. The same can't be said for Tony Hawk and Fifa. NBA 2k8 is in the middle, and doing alright.

Next week: with more bundles, a few new games, and GH3, software could/should hit 1m for the week. I expect a similar 350k opening for GH3 on X360.

 

And the land of Japan:

This Wk  Last WkName  Wk SalesTotal Sales % Drop Wks in Release  Expected LTD
 #1 --- Bladestorm  >7,500 >7,500 --- 1 25,000
 #2 #1 Beautiful Katamari 3,688 22,184 -80.1% 2  50,000
 #3 #2 Halo 3 2,886 80,761 -20.4% 5 100,000
 #4 #3 Project Gotham 4 1,147 11,198 -50.6% 3 40,000
 #5 #4 Zoids Alternative 603 2,141 -60.8% 2 5,000
 #6 #5 Blue Dragon 519 203,408 -17.4% 47 215,000
 #7 #6 Trusty Bell 274 71,764 -19.2% 20 73,000(?)
 #8 #7 TES: Oblivion 198 73,801 -25.6% 14 80,000
 #9 #8 Hitman: Blood Money 167 12,474  -26.1% 9 13,500
 #10 #9  Viva Pinata 147 20,829 -22.3% 42 21,000+

 

A few notes:

#1. Meh. Everything across the board is just mediocre, but there's actually 11 software titles tracked (at points, the X360 this year had 5). Bladestorm has a very bad debut, but a good multiplier vs. Shinobi's 3k o/d. I'd expect decent sales for Christmas, and should see a decent drop with the massive boost in hardware this week.

#2. Beautiful Katamari isn't so beautiful this week. With a massive drop, it's no wonder since it's a niche game. Maybe with the VP pack-in, people might buy this since it's in the same odd-niche genre.

#3. Ah, Halo 3 does well in Japan. It's legs seem to be similar to Oblivion early on. If that was the case, we could see h3 with around 110k sales.

#4-10. Really not much to discuss. Big drops across the board. Blue Dragon is the only bright spot - VGC seems to of increased its LTD sales this week overall, by 3,000 units. Not much, but should be enough to power it ahead quite a bit with the increase in hardware this week + the Platinum edition. Rest of the titles dropped pretty bad. Oblivion's great legs seem to of faltered horrendously.



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Tony Hawks really has flunked. Looks like EA pulled a fast one, and managed to steal a lot of the marketshare from under Activisions nose. Sneaky!

Conan hasn't done great either, but no idea about the expectations for the title.

Madden sales are interesting:
- on the 360 alone, sales are up around 20% YoY
- last year, the XBOX sold 500k plus - most of those sales have been lost
- at this point last year, the PS2 had 2m (+) sales. Sales are down more than 50%.

Basically - the huge increase of install base for the 360, has barely altered the sell-through of Madden on the platform - and hasn't been enough to offset losses on other platforms.



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Good to see the Halo 3 drop isn't as drastic anymore.

As long as holiday sales are solid, the 360 is on pace to sell about 2 million consoles more than last year, which is a great increase. Very solid debut for AC6, but man the sales for Orange Box are dropping faster than I would like them to.



All the EA haters need to check out Skate.

Minor correction: you have Conan listed as 4 weeks in release instead of 1.

-I wonder how many of those 111k copies of Ace Combat 6 were the $149.99 version with the flight stick.

-To beat a dead horse, Forza 2 and Marvel Ultimate Alliance should probably be 3 and 4 on the 360 sales charts now that the new bundles are out.



We don't provide the 'easy to program for' console that they [developers] want, because 'easy to program for' means that anybody will be able to take advantage of pretty much what the hardware can do, so the question is what do you do for the rest of the nine and half years? It's a learning process. - SCEI president Kaz Hirai

It's a virus where you buy it and you play it with your friends and they're like, "Oh my God that's so cool, I'm gonna go buy it." So you stop playing it after two months, but they buy it and they stop playing it after two months but they've showed it to someone else who then go out and buy it and so on. Everyone I know bought one and nobody turns it on. - Epic Games president Mike Capps

We have a real culture of thrift. The goal that I had in bringing a lot of the packaged goods folks into Activision about 10 years ago was to take all the fun out of making video games. - Activision CEO Bobby Kotick

 

Ace combat looks to do very well, with probably 100k from japan and 500k from U can easily break 1 million



                 With regard to Call of Duty 4 having an ultra short single player campaign, I guess it may well have been due to the size limitations of DVD on the XBox 360, one of various limitations multi-platform game designers will have to take into consideration-Mike B   

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Game trailers-Halo 3 only dissapointed the people who wanted to be dissapointed.

Bet with Harvey Birdman that Lost Odyssey will sell more then Blue dragon did.