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Forums - Sony Discussion - DAMN YOU! all who said Sony won't achieve their 13m target

binary solo on 05 December 2009

I'm saying nothing until BHR-3 turns up. His ability to call the numbers is spooky.

This is the metric for 13 million: 17.5 weeks to go, 6.2 million consoles to sell, means 354 consoles per week on average.

PS3 is likely to average above 700K per week over the next 5 weeks giving us at least 3.5 million for the holidays. That leaves at most 2.7 million to sell in the remaining 12.5 weeks at a required average of no more than 216K per week. At the beginning of 2009 PS3 was averaging something around 150K per week, with the help of KZ2 right at the end of the financial year.

So what you need to ask yourself is: will PS3 sell 44% better in Q1 2010 than Q1 2009? Will the software release schedule for Q1 2010 push hardware?



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ILOVE GOD OF WAR on 05 December 2009
binary solo said:
I'm saying nothing until BHR-3 turns up. His ability to call the numbers is spooky.

This is the metric for 13 million: 17.5 weeks to go, 6.2 million consoles to sell, means 354 consoles per week on average.

PS3 is likely to average above 700K per week over the next 5 weeks giving us at least 3.5 million for the holidays. That leaves at most 2.7 million to sell in the remaining 12.5 weeks at a required average of no more than 216K per week. At the beginning of 2009 PS3 was averaging something around 150K per week, with the help of KZ2 right at the end of the financial year.

So what you need to ask yourself is: will PS3 sell 44% better in Q1 2010 than Q1 2009? Will the software release schedule for Q1 2010 push hardware?

Yes.

 



gustave154 on 05 December 2009

God Of War 3 will increase hardware at least 50k???
I hope so xD



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Serious_frusting on 05 December 2009

Like i said month and months ago Sony will 100% do it



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dbot on 05 December 2009

I don't see channel stuffing as a viable option for Sony. You need to have leverage with the retailer to convince them to accept the extra shipments. Allegedly MS was able to stuff about 1 million extra 360's in the channel at the end of 2006 by leveraging the launches of Vista and Office 2007 at retail. (One of the many benefits of having the sales and marketing of retail operating systems and office in the EDD?)

http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2007/04/microsoft_phili.html



Thanks for the input, Jeff.

 

 

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shams on 05 December 2009
Solid_Snake4RD said:

^^^^ and also who said nobody PS3 sales wouldn't increase much by cutting the price

Current Figure:

Console PS3
Total
6,702,236

 

I am still sticking with my prediction of 13.5m by end of FY2009-10

Well... 8 months down, 4 months to go. Exactly 50% of the required sales hit.

So, they need to sell in the next 4 months the same number of PS3 units they sold in the last 8 months.

When you consider this already includes the PS3 slim/price-cut boost... it seems unlikely.

...

I'll stick by my predictions of approx 11.5-12m. Which is still pretty damned good.

(FYI - 4 months = approx 17 weeks. Which is almost 400k/week. It all comes down to how much they manage to do over Xmas).



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09tarheel on 05 December 2009

It seems like they should get there at least with shipments (which is what they projected), but 13 million sale through will still be a challenge (but possible). It will depend largely on how well it holds up for the week after Black Friday.



d21lewis on 05 December 2009

I didn't expect Sony's PS3 to sell as well as it did. Now, my soul is damned to hell. Serves me right.

:(



pablogers on 05 December 2009

it may be possible.. ff13 will move a lot of hardware in japan... also it'll be god of war, star ocean in japàn .. heavy rain (curious to see how this game does..) ...
i think it will be more in the 12 millions...