Release Dates
New Super Mario Bros Wii - 03rd Dec 09
Samurai Warriors 3 - 03rd Dec 09
Tales of Graces - 10th Dec 09
Final Fantasy XIII - 17th Dec 09
First Week and LTD
Why don't you make like a tree and get out of here?
Release Dates
New Super Mario Bros Wii - 03rd Dec 09
Samurai Warriors 3 - 03rd Dec 09
Tales of Graces - 10th Dec 09
Final Fantasy XIII - 17th Dec 09
First Week and LTD
Why don't you make like a tree and get out of here?
I'd say
NSMBWii
FW - 700K
LTD - 2.7m
Samurai Warriors 3
FW - 100K
LTD - 150K
Tales of Graces
FW - 290K
LTD - 400K
Final Fantasy XIII
FW - 1.4m
LTD - 2.3m
Why don't you make like a tree and get out of here?
NSMB Wii:
First Week -- 650K
LTD -- 3 Million
Samurai Warriors 3:
First Week -- 130K
LTD -- 250K
Tales Of Graces:
First Week -- 270K
LTD -- 500K
FINAL FANTASY XIII:
First Week -- 1.5 Million
LTD: 2.2 Million
All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey
Sengoku Musou 3 (Wii)
First Week - 70K
LTD - 140K
Tales of Graces (Wii)
First Week - 150K
LTD - 230K
Final Fantasy XIII (PS3)
First Week 1.6M- 1.9M
LTD - 2.30M
I'll start off with what I know the best, so NSMB Wii.
NSMB Wii should have a good chance at Mario Kart Wii esque numbers. If you go to the DS, NSMB Wii is far more popular (50% more) there than MKDS is. So, I believe suspecting that MKWii esque sales is a low-end makes sense.
Thus, 2.5 million seems to be the low-end. The high-end would be getting Wii Fit esque sales, which would result in ~ 3.5 million. I don't think NSMB Wii has a chance at fully managing Wii Fit/Wii Sports esque number, and that's why it's not ~ 4 million.
So, NSMB Wii should be [2.5, 3.5] million. If you want an exact number, 3 million.
FF13 is a tad harder. If we compare it to FFX, that launched on a base of 5.2 million, and sold 1.9 million first week. It finished with 3 million.
I think the Final Fantasy is somewhat weaker as a franchise now, and that along with the decreased base should lower the number a bit.
All in all, FF13 should sell 2.2-2.7 million, I guess. As a concrete number, say 2.4 million lifetime.
ultima said: Those are crazy high numbers you guys are predicting for FFXIII. |
So you're expecting more like 1.5-1.9 LTD?
Why don't you make like a tree and get out of here?
FFXIII will at the very best hit 2m LTD in Japan. But that is very unlikely. My prediction is 1.75m LTD, 1.3m first week.
History: FFX has launched on a userbase of 4.7m and sold 1.75m first week, 2.32m LTD.
PhantomLink said:
So you're expecting more like 1.5-1.9 LTD? |
I don't know, it just seems high... Has any other PS3 game even broken the million barrier in Japan yet?
ultima said:
I don't know, it just seems high... Has any other PS3 game even broken the million barrier in Japan yet? |
Nop
Top selling ps3 games in japan
Why don't you make like a tree and get out of here?
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