your reasoning makes no sense but the PS3 selling more in Japan and Europe even though having a year less in Japan and 18 months less in Europe is quite impressive, taking the high price point in account its amazing.

you obviously missed all the sony is doomed threads lately... because i havent seen you posting anything in those talking about how those always pop up when 360 fans become insecure

If I remember right the majority of PS3 doom threads were started by Sony fans.

Beat it into the dustbin of history?

I gave the PS3 the benefit of a 60 000 per week advantage and assumed that Microsoft would do nothing in the intervening  years. Change either of those and that 2.5 years could be increased by alot. 

The statistic was not intended to show a best case scenario, but by no means is it a worst case scenario either.

Therefore to state that the PS3 will almost certainly beat the 360, is premature.

Start using averages in January. Not now.

drugz is bad kids.

I agree entirely. It's impossible to make any kind of reliable prediction about what might happen now, so soon after the release of the slim and leading into Christmas. 

The purpose of my post was purely to highlight what kind of numbers the PS3 would have to do on average to catch the 360, not to say that it would or to predict when it might happen.  I've seen it before where people have made threads like this, paying heed only to momentum and little attention to the not insignificant gap that still exists between the two systems.

Its an eyetoy 2.

For PAL regions, a 1 year and 5 months headstart (the 360 had 2 extra holiday seasons there). I think the PS3 is already ahead in PAL regions as a whole. Asia was not a contest, the United States will be where the real battle lies. This holiday season we should see a turnaround with increasing Blu-Ray movie demand and cheaper slim PS3, but I think holiday season 2010 will probably have a greater impact on restoring the balance and greatly diminish the 1 year headstart advantage there.