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Final Fantasy XIII to sell at least 1.5mil Japan first week !!!!!!

Forums - Sales Discussion - Final Fantasy XIII to sell at least 1.5mil Japan first week !!!!!!

Yh thats my prediction. i would go for to 2million though. But everyone will be trying to say how crazzy i am.

 

ff 10

Released 19th July 2001 on an install base of 4,998,378. the game sold 1,906,152 units first week. Thats 38.1% of the install base.

Hardware numbers that week were 172,118. In comparrisen only 97.115 the week before and 113,589 the week after.

GAME SALES OVERALL

1,906,152 first week. 2nd week 254,290. LTD 3.02M


ff X-2

13th March 2003 install base 12,041,384

1,561,553 First week. 2nd Week 192,730. LTD 2.41M

Being as this is the 2nd FF on the consoel and the size of the install base the is no reason for me to do % of first week sales because it will be skewed



ff XII

16th March 2006 install base 20,300,232

1,819,872 first week. 2nd week 242.040 LTD 2.42M

Being as this is the 3rd FF on the console and the size of the install base the is no reason for me to do the % of first week sales because it will skew the data.



Metal gear solid 2

Released 29th November 2001 on a install base of 3,367,910. The game sold 469,683 units the first week. Thats 13.9% of the install base.

Hardware numbers that week were 118,977. in comparrisen the week before it was 41,119. and the week after it sold 113,455

GAME OVERALL SALES

469.683 first week. 2nd week 94,570 ltd 0.87M


Metal gear solid 3

Released 16th December 2004 on a install base of 17,249,991

493,827 first week. 2nd week. 115,054. ltd 0.86M


Resident evil 4

released 1st december 2005 on a install base of 19,630,909

241,586 first week. 2nd week 68,773. ltd 0.49M


Yakuz 2

7th december 2007 install base 22,212,543

285,182 first week. 2nd week 72,095. ltd 0.82M


Yakuza

Relased 8th december 2005 on an install base of 19,667,066. first week hardware 49,952. 2nd week hardware 60,674. week before hardware 36,157. No impact.

133,399 first week. 2nd week 53,357. ltd 0.74M


PLAYSTATION 1

Released 31st January 1997 on an install base of 5,062,657. The game sold 2,025,834 first week. Thats 40% of the install base.

The ps1 sold 165,228 units that week. In comparssen the week after it sold 121,465 and the week before it sold 91,198.

OVERALL SALES
First week 2,025,834. 2nd week 328,209. ltd 3,93M


PLAYSTATION 3

Yakuza 3

Released 26th febuary 2009 on a install base of 2,892,729. It sold 355,392 units first week. Thats 12.28% of the install base.

OVERALL SALES
1st week 355,392. 2nd week 56,383. ltd 0.49M and still selling


Metal Gear Solid 4

Released 12th June 2008 on a install base of 2,131,896. Thats 22.55% of the install base.

Overall sales

First week 480,695. 2nd week 64,219 ltd 0.70M and still selling


Resident Evil 5

6th March 2009

1st week 323,228. 2nd week 60,755. ltd 0.49M and still selling

 

Resident Evil 5 has outsold resident Evil 4 LTD within a few weeks. Yakuza 3 has seen a huge jump from Yakuza 1 when its comes to first week sales. Like 170K more. MGS2 sold to 13.9% of the install base first week. Whilst MGS4 sold to 22.55% of the install base. This goes to show that games can stil sell just as well as the ps2 version if not better at a faster rate and grab a higher % of the install base.

 

As you can see these old franchises are more front loaded on the PS3 outdoing the PS2 versions first week and thats with a smaller install base. So a higher % of the install base are buying the games first week.

If lets say the ps3 is at 3,900,000 in Japan by FF 13 release. And it sells the same % of the install base on the first week as previous games in the series. Then this game will do 1.50M first week.

But being as the PS3 is sells games at a faster rate for the first week then the PS2 did then that number could be even higher. Say around 2mil high. Which will be around 51% Of the user base.assuming the ps3 is at 1.90M

These figures i have stated are not includng the hardware bump the PS3 will get on the release date so keep that into account. I also think the PS3 will be above 3,900,000 by the time FF13 releases but thats for another thread ;)

 

discuss ^^^^^^



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Maybe more, like 2 million since release date is in Christmas. Nice research !



Haven't you posted this once?



yes no question about this...the first bundle was sold out after a few days...and there are coming more bundles + all the people who already got the PS in Japan that will buy FF...at leat 1.5 in first week!



Someone else posted this...

Why does everyone choose to ignore Famitsu? You guys think the guys at Famitsu who are almost always accurate with their predictions (or aren't too far off) will be off by 600k or more?




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http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=87489&page=7



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ioi said:
Haven't you posted this one?

 

 

I probably did ages ago but i most likly didnt have such stats to back me up



Nobody's perfect. I aint nobody!!!

Killzone 2. its not a fps. it a FIRST PERSON WAR SIMULATOR!!!! ..The true PLAYSTATION 3 launch date and market dominations is SEP 1st

Soriku said:

Someone else posted this...

Why does everyone choose to ignore Famitsu? You guys think the guys at Famitsu who are almost always accurate with their predictions (or aren't too far off) will be off by 600k or more?

Because pass trends say so ;)



Nobody's perfect. I aint nobody!!!

Killzone 2. its not a fps. it a FIRST PERSON WAR SIMULATOR!!!! ..The true PLAYSTATION 3 launch date and market dominations is SEP 1st

Serious_frusting said:
Soriku said:

Someone else posted this...

Why does everyone choose to ignore Famitsu? You guys think the guys at Famitsu who are almost always accurate with their predictions (or aren't too far off) will be off by 600k or more?

Because pass trends say so ;)


Famitsu are also using trends and preorder data and other factors.




Soriku said:
Serious_frusting said:
Soriku said:

Someone else posted this...

Why does everyone choose to ignore Famitsu? You guys think the guys at Famitsu who are almost always accurate with their predictions (or aren't too far off) will be off by 600k or more?

Because pass trends say so ;)


Famitsu are also using trends and preorder data and other factors.

Well they must be using different data to every other living person in history then.

How can FF13 not at least sell to 40% of the install base?



Nobody's perfect. I aint nobody!!!

Killzone 2. its not a fps. it a FIRST PERSON WAR SIMULATOR!!!! ..The true PLAYSTATION 3 launch date and market dominations is SEP 1st