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Forums - General Discussion - Pause in Artic's melting trend.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8261953.stm 

This summer's melt of Arctic sea ice has not been as profound as in the last two years, scientists said as the ice began its annual Autumn recovery.

At its smallest extent this summer, on 12 September, the ice covered 5.10 million sq km (1.97 million sq miles).

This was larger than the minima seen in the last two years, and leaves 2007's record low of 4.1 million sq km (1.6 million sq miles) intact.

But scientists note the long-term trend is still downwards.

They note that at this year's minimum, the ice covered 24% less ocean than for the 1979-2000 average.

The analysis is compiled from satellite readings at the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) in Boulder, Colorado.

Colder front

Among the reasons for the less drastic melt are that Arctic temperatures have been cooler this year than last, researchers said, and that winds have helped disperse sea ice across the region.

NSIDC scientist Walt Meier said the reasons for the somewhat cooler temperatures this year were not entirely clear yet.

"We had cloudier conditions and low pressure zones in late summer that probably helped keep temperatures down," he told BBC News.

"It's something we need to look at in more detail.

"But it certainly wasn't as warm as 2007, which was in the order of 2-3C warmer than the average in a lot of places."

The question now, he said, was whether 2007 turns out to be a "high-melt blip", or whether 2009 turns out to be a "low-melt blip" - which will not become evident until next summer at the earliest.

What continues to have scientists worried is that a significant proportion of the cover consists of young, thin ice formed in a single winter.

This is much more prone to melting than the older, thicker ice that dominated in years gone by.

"If we get another warm year, anything like 2007, then the ice is really going to go," said Dr Meier.

"And the chances are that at some point in the next few years we are going to get a warm one."

White heat

In recent decades, the Arctic region has been warming about twice as fast as the average for the Earth's surface.

Recently, scientists specialising in reconstructing past temperatures released data showing that the current decade is the warmest in the Arctic for at least 2,000 years.

Melting ice is a "positive feedback" mechanism driving temperature rise faster. Whereas white ice reflects sunlight back into space, dark water absorbs it, leading to faster warming.

The NSIDC team cautions that this is a preliminary analysis and that further melt is possible, though unlikely, this year.

Next month they will publish a full analysis including more details of how temperatures, currents and winds affected the sea ice this summer.



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whoops I meant Arctic lol



yeah it was becuase chuck norris pressed pause on his universal remote



"They will know heghan belongs to the helghast"

"England expects that everyman will do his duty"

"we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender"

 

Just out of interest, what was the 1979-2000 average? I'll shave a look.



Interesting information.

What I don't like about the attitude of scientists towards this phenomenon is that they give different opinions and predict different consequences...



"I think that I don't think."

- Soli Deo Gloria -

The FUTURE is the FUTURE. Now... B_E_L_I_E_V_E!

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highwaystar101 said:
Just out of interest, what was the 1979-2000 average? I'll shave a look.


Can you teach me how to shave a look, it sounds cool

If you follow the link there is a pretty neat picture where you can see the 1979-2000 average and compare it to 2003 onwards. I can't inbed it though.

2009 is still below the 1979-2000 average.



Interesting but they have a data set of 2000 years. The Earth is like 4 billion years old. The Arctic and Antarctic were rainforests at one point or another multiple times in geological history.



tombi123 said:
highwaystar101 said:
Just out of interest, what was the 1979-2000 average? I'll shave a look.


Can you teach me how to shave a look, it sounds cool

If you follow the link there is a pretty neat picture where you can see the 1979-2000 average and compare it to 2003 onwards. I can't inbed it though.

2009 is still below the 1979-2000 average.

This is how to shave a look

And this is the embedded picture of the 1979-2000 average compared to 2009.