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PS3 will win a console war in the end of 2007?

Forums - Sales Discussion - PS3 will win a console war in the end of 2007?

I wrote that in my native language and runned it through babelfish translation, cause, was to lazy to translate myself. ============================================= Interesting fact, it is necessary altogether to only sell about 10 mln. consoles in order to obtain sales of AAA title to 4 millions. In this year as the minimum 4 AAA of titles us they await on PS3: MG, Killzone2, GTA4, AC - 2 exclusive and 2 multi. Well about GTA4, possessors xbox360 will take xbox360 version, possessors PS3, version for PS3. Those, which do not have these both consoles, they will wait for reviews and comparisons, and for sure will take the game, where it better looks. AC will be on pc; therefore it in no way will influence sales. Further, 6 additional titles, which can pretend to AAA: DMC4, NGS, HS, Lair, Uncharted, Ratchet. Also it does not be worth forgetting about LBP. It is altogether more than 10 games, which can be reach more than 1 mln. sales, each. ============================================= MS to learn on their mistakes? very relatively said, in 2007 leaves altogether only 2 games, interesting for the Japanese, one in summer - Eternal Sonata, which even not to be located in the list of those expected, and the second at the end of the year - Lost Odyssey, i.e., entire 2007 to Japanese not in what to play on the xbox360. ============================================= Well, about victory of PS3, this altogether only 1 year of 5-7 summer lives. The first only the half of year name successful difficultly (Resistance, MotorStorm and VF5(multi); all), but next the half of year there will already be successful. ============================================= Fact, this time of exclusive on the xbox360 it was collected sufficiently: Kameo, PDZ, PGR3, PGR4, DR, DoA4, LP(?), Forza2, ME(?), Too Human(?), BD, LO, TB, Cry on, Halo Wars(?), Fable2(?). to march, probably it is already more exclusive games that the first xbox was collected in 4 years. But taking into account, that to appear the version of xbox360 with 120GB and HDMI, already it is possible to look at xbox460 for the acquisition. The more, for those, whom HDMI it is not strongly important, it will be possible to take premium at 300$. If purchased today xbox360, then for the next 2 months you will what to play on single player, and then: May - Forza 2 June - Shadowrun July - Mass Effect August - Blue Dragon September - Halo 3 October - Grand Theft Auto 4 November - Project Gotham Racing 4 December - Lost Odyssey well and Too Human here somewhere, if him again they do not transfer. ============================================= Yes, even nearly forgot, ps2 to 31 March, 2001, there was after making about 10,5 mln. to sales(not released in usa/europe for a half a year), almost like xbox360, but then here already to March 2002 they sold additional 20 million. http://www.vgcharts.org/worldcons.php?date=36951&sort=0 2001 March. http://www.vgcharts.org/worldcons.php?date=37316&sort=0 2002 March. I.e. in order to achieve success ps2, M$ it is necessary in this year to sell 20 additional mln. boxes, bit that is hard to achieve, M$ hopes to sell only 2-3 millions toward the end of the summer, i.e., remaining 17-18 mln. to sell to the end of March 2008 is almost unreal, maximum 5. At the same time, PS3 in order to continue success of PS2, it is necessary to sell altogether only 10,5 millions. toward the end of november/year well, or March of 2008. They already sold 2 mln. (without Europe) and, probably they will sell only 3,5 millions. toward the end of March, this with the price of 600$ in America, and 800$ in Europe, altogether only with 2 good exclusive games and 1 for half a year I.e. 3,5 million. in the first half-year (with small quantaty of good games), and to then sell 2 times more, i.e., 7 additional millions. with 10 AAA titles, for sure problems it will not comprise. Well, and 2008 us will meet FFXIII, GT5, WKS, and many others of Hts + reduction in the price in spring 2008, earlier to descend there is no sense. ============================================= Well and, to the remainder, is today xbox360 worthy rival? That that in Japan the second xbox did not overtake the first, this is obvious: http://www.vgcharts.org/aconscomps.php?name1=XB&name2=X360&type=0&align=0 and altogether only one game(ES) in 2007 position will not correct, but LO generally at the end of the year, it exactly after all it will help to overtake on sales the first boxing, but this minimal. Europe: judging according to the data, on 700 thousand there was prodanno greater xbox360, than for the same periud of the first box. by success not you nazavesh', but as the minimum positive. Well, and is finally traditionally strong on sales to production M$ America, also almost astonished in no way: http://www.vgcharts.org/aconscomps.php?name1=XB&name2=X360&type=0&align=0 Increase in 200 thousand. 3to certainly taking into account that entire yr in xbox360 not there was competition from side Sony and Nintendo. Now competition exists, and that we do see for second yr of the life of boxing? Without the competition it could not overtake on sales ps2: 16 PS2 Jan 02 399,750 8,528,250 X360 Feb 07 257,500 5,692,750 http://www.vgcharts.org/aconscomps.php?name1=PS2&name2=X360&type=0&align=0 But now, already and hardly it will be able. 24 mln. first xbox, in 4 years, i.e., on 6 millions. per year. new xbox made about 7 mln. without the competition into first year: http://www.vgcharts.org/worldcons.php?date=38961&sort=0 a unenviable position... I think xbox360 is doomed again to become the xbox with these sales...



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far