They predicted the sales for when those games are done selling. So no, people didn't overstimated as much as you make it out.If you can find me one prediction that says 'sales until July 31st 2011' then you'll have a point.
Likewise you have no evidence to say these games will actually sell that much. Keep waiting is not an option. Just crow, or no crow. It's mostly crow right now.
That's about as stupid as someone predicting 10m sales for Halo Reach LT and then having someone say 'you overestimated because it hasn't reached 10m yet. That's stupid because the prediction was for LT.
It hasn't sold 10m. So crow. If it does, no crow. Your paradigm is not very good. Substituting the game doesn't affect the prediction being incorrect.
Uhh yes I do, I have evidence that shows if a game is still selling at a steady pace, then it is possible to tell how much it will sell in the next 4 - 5 years. And all the games list are still selling at a steady pace which logically means they will eventually reach most of the predictions in the thread. Anyone with a basic understanding of sales trends knows that.
As for Reach. It's not a matter of IF it does, because it WILL do 10m. It's guaranteed. We know that by looking at the current sales of the game. We can clearly see what the game will and won't reach. Reach WILL cross 10m in it's Lifetime. The 10m LT prediction IS right. And if you don't understand that, then there's no reason debating with you.
Again those predictions are for when the games stop selling. That means once the games start sellingl