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Reaching Milestones.

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What important numbers will the consoles reach this year? Where will they be reached? I will be using 500,000, 1,000,000, 5,000,000, 10,000,000, 15,000,000 as milestones. 360 - 10 million sold worldwide in early April 500,000 sold in Japan by July 1 5 million sold in others by Nov 1 Wii - 10 million sold worldwide in mid July 5 million sold in Japan by Nov 1 5 million sold in Americas by Oct 1 5 million sold in Others by the end of the year 15 million worldwide in early November Passes 360 in late sept-early november PS3 - 5 million sold worldwide in early July 500,000 sold in Others by April 1 1 million sold in Japan by July 1 1 million sold in Others by May 1



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

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TheSource said: What important numbers will the consoles reach this year? Where will they be reached? I will be using 500,000, 1,000,000, 5,000,000, 10,000,000, 15,000,000 as milestones. 360 - 10 million sold worldwide in early April 500,000 sold in Japan by July 1 5 million sold in others by Nov 1 Wii - 10 million sold worldwide in mid July 5 million sold in Japan by Nov 1 5 million sold in Americas by Oct 1 5 million sold in Others by the end of the year 15 million worldwide in early November Passes 360 in late sept-early november PS3 - 5 million sold worldwide in early July 500,000 sold in Others by April 1 1 million sold in Japan by July 1 1 million sold in Others by May 1
10million Wii's sold by mid-July after only 9 months after launch?



"The things we touch have no permanence."

Yeah. It is selling over 1 million per month.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

TheSource said: Yeah. It is selling over 1 million per month.
But it must maintain its current momentum, (which I don't doubt necessarily) but what happens when supply can finally meet the demand?



"The things we touch have no permanence."

For comparison, Gamecube only reached 7 million after 8 months in Europe, 13 months in the Americas, and 15 months in Japan. Wii will be right near 1.9 million in Japan through March, and 2.5 million in the Americas through March, and it sold 800,000 in 2006 in Europe. Considering Wii sold at an average of 80,000/week in the Americas for Jan-Feb, I imagine sales are at least 1/2 that in Europe. For 13 weeks (1 1/2 week in Jan & March) at 40,000 per week, Wii would be at 520,000. In other words: Wii through March 1.9+2.5+1.32 as a bare minimum. VG charts has Wii in others at .82 million in 2007 in 11 weeks, which is 75,000 per week. At another near two weeks, that would put Wii at .97+.8 in Europe (1.77). Therefore: Wii - 1.9+2.5+1.77 = 6.17 million through March 31, 2007 (4.5 months Americas, nearly 4 months Japan/Others) Gamecube - 7 million through December 31, 2007 Wii is selling 2.5x to 4x as fast worldwide right now, depending on the region. But I do expect it so slow down a little bit mid year,. If Gamecube sold 10 million sometime in July, 2003 (in 20 months), then Wii would be at 10 million in 5 months (April - not happening worldwide) or 2.5 times faster (July 2007). I do see Wii selling 1.5 to 3.5x faster than Gamecube this year, depending on the region which is why I have it reaching 10 million in July (not June as I had before I edited this).



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

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One advantage, a big advantage, that the Wii has is that word of mouth (otherwise known as using it) sells many of the systems to many people who may not have previously considered buying any console. So as more units float out there, more people will be able to use the system and get hooked. The ability to sell to an entirely new demographic may alter the typical sales cycle and sustain growth for a while.