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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the PS3 ever have a game of 10 million in sales or more?

CGI-Quality said:
averyblund said:
Gosh if only Sony in 2006 could see us arguing about them hitting such a basic benchmark. This market sure changes quickly. As to the discussion. Yes I think the PS3 will get a 10mil or 2, but they will be games that sell over a long period of time. GT5 right now looks possible. It will have to be exclusive, it will need to be mainstream, and have good pull in all 3 regions (no FPS's sorry) and even then it will be a close call. But the PS3 has a loyal fanbase, and occasional legs on some titles, so I certainly wouldn't count them out. Of course all this would be pointless if they started a long term pack-in with all consoles sold.

You do realize that GT5 WILL be exclusive, WILL release in all regions, and doesn't need to be an FPS to sell like absolute hotcakes correct?


Sorry it was clearer in my mind. I should have inserted a paragraph break. What I meant to say is GT5 might be able to do it, but if not it will take a mainstream, exclusive, multi-region hit.

 



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averyblund said:

, but if not it will take a mainstream, exclusive, multi-region hit.

 

That is exactly what GT is dude. 



use the 360 as a yardstick, 30m sold and the highest selling game (Halo 3) has sold what 9m copies? (havent checked it in a while to be fair, but i think its somewhere between 9 and 10m)

so, if we assume that Gran Turismo or Final Fantasy get unbelievable reviews and sales hype, then we make another assumption that the PS3 userbase will at some point in this generation pass the 30m mark, then yes, both GT5 and FFXIII have an outside chance of 10m.

perhaps more realisticly, its fair to say that the only way any game can sell 10m on PS3, is if the PS3 userbase reaches 40 or 50m.



twingo said:
averyblund said:
 

, but if not it will take a mainstream, exclusive, multi-region hit.

 

That is exactly what GT is dude. 

Yes, I know that, thats why I said- if GT5 cannot do it, then it will have to be a game that is mainstream, exclusive, and a multi-region hit. So yes at this point it looks like GT5 or bust, but who knows Sony has some pretty talented studios.



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They need to sell a lot more PS3's before this is possible. Touching on the fact that GT3 launched on the PS2 when it had a small base and still sold over 10 million, you have to remember that was the PS2. While GT3 was still climbing to 10 million, the PS2 was selling very well. While GT5 will be climbing to 10 million, the sales of the PS3 might not be as stellar.

Echoing everyone else, I'm not saying it's impossible.



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twingo said:
Vetteman94 said:
Gran Turismo 5 will do it pretty easily. Do people forget that GT3 sold 14.7 million and launched on an install base of 11.7 million and it was actually under 10 million when it launched 3 months earlier in Japan. GT3 is more relevant to GT5 than GT4 is since they were both the first GT game on the console.

To much sanity there dude.

With post like "Probably not. Unless they create a game with a halo like fanbase and increase their userbase it probably wont happen"

Don't expect much from people here.

 

 

Way to go dude. It sold 14.7M on 11.7M install base! You are conveniently ignoring it kept selling until GT4 launched and by then the ps2 reached 80M or something like that. Supposing the same attach ratio, if the ps3 reaches 40M GT5 will sell 7M.

And Twingo, you are one of the most insane posters around here. You don't want sanity, you want blind loyalism to sony. "Don't expect much from people here" is what other people say when referring to posters like you.

GT5 will sell around what Halo 3 does - around 30% attach rate. If you seriously expect over 30% attach rate for GT5, geebush.

Aaaand back to Fallout 3.





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If GT5 were bundled for a significant period of time, maybe. If not, probably not.



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Bitmap Frogs said:

 

Way to go dude. It sold 14.7M on 11.7M install base! You are conveniently ignoring it kept selling until GT4 launched and by then the ps2 reached 80M or something like that. Supposing the same attach ratio, if the ps3 reaches 40M GT5 will sell 7M.

And Twingo, you are one of the most insane posters around here. You don't want sanity, you want blind loyalism to sony. "Don't expect much from people here" is what other people say when referring to posters like you.

GT5 will sell around what Halo 3 does - around 30% attach rate. If you seriously expect over 30% attach rate for GT5, geebush.

Aaaand back to Fallout 3.

Are you saying PS3 will only do 40m ? lol.

GT3 succesor was out before PS2 hit 60m.

No dude i just lack blind hatred, Sony made Nin their bitch for a decade PS2 wasted the xbox and put Sega out of the console business.  I get why all the blinding hate.  I used to buy nintendo but out grew it to me wii is a toy something totally pointless for me to own while 360 is a defective product.  I would sure as hell never buy anything with a +30% fail rate.  Hell Sony wins by default. 

Its not rocket science, 28/30m by end of 09 another 10ish mil in 2010 another year or two of consle life for sure, boom 60mish PS3s with GT5 breaking 10m as if its nothing.  Hey 18m according to your math, god damn what a number.

 



i doubt it.



SciFiBoy said:

use the 360 as a yardstick, 30m sold and the highest selling game (Halo 3) has sold what 9m copies? (havent checked it in a while to be fair, but i think its somewhere between 9 and 10m)

so, if we assume that Gran Turismo or Final Fantasy get unbelievable reviews and sales hype, then we make another assumption that the PS3 userbase will at some point in this generation pass the 30m mark, then yes, both GT5 and FFXIII have an outside chance of 10m.

perhaps more realisticly, its fair to say that the only way any game can sell 10m on PS3, is if the PS3 userbase reaches 40 or 50m.

Yes, this is roughly the same reasoning I made to guess a 40million user base as a reasonably safe condition to make it happen.

There are two things that balance each other: Halo 3 is really huge, this would make XB360 need a smaller user base to make it reach 10million, but Halo 3 launched when XB360 user base was smaller than PS3 current one, this could help biggest PS3 titles launched from now on, in comparison, as most spoiled gamers are more likely to buy a game when it's new.

IMVHO Sony should from now on constantly bundle one or more out of a selection of its most renowned 1st party games with every PS3 sold, to build phenomena just like Nintendo did with WiiSports.



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