Sorry. A substantial price cut is already unofficially confirmed.
You do realize when you say "unofficially confirmed", that's practically the same thing as a prediction, which holds no affirmity behind it.
You do realize that a "prediction" is all this thread is based off of. A poor and uninformed one at that.
It's a bit more than a prediction considering you can use simple math to figure out the losses yourself if you know how much Sony loses on each console right now + what they'll lose on the price cut. If math means prediction to you, then sure it's a "prediction".
Less than 40 dollars per console. With HW revision on its way in the fall for the second time this year. Which they have had 3 shrunk chips already which most likely saved them about 100 dollars each time.
When the PS3 launched, it cost roughly $840 to manufacture one 60GB unit. As of Q2, it cost roughly $440 to manufacture one 80GB unit. That's a difference of about $400 in 2 1/2 years. In that time period, the PS3 has undergone 3 major revisions.
1. August 2007 - 80GB PS3 Introduced
-PS2 CPU removed
2. October 2007 - 40GB PS3 Introduced
-90nm Cell switched to 65nm
-Motherboard redesigned and reduced in size
-Flash Card readers removed
-SACD support removed
-PS2 GPU removed
-Removed 2 USB ports
-Number and consistency of air vents reduced
-Chrome trim replaced with silver plastic
3. August 2008 - 80GB PS3 Reintroduced
-90nm RSX switched to 65nm
The large majority of that $400 reduction came from the above revisions. I'd like to point out that with all the above revisions, Sony has not once reduced the size of the console despite the fact that the internal and external parts no longer necessitate it. It has a lot of empty space both inside it and outside it and that amount of space is only going to increase with the 45nm Cell revision.