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Forums - Sales Discussion - If the PS3 Slim is legit and releases at $299 - What will it do for sales?

Squilliam said:
I would suspect that if Sony cut the price of the PS3 by $100, Microsoft would cut the price of the Xbox 360 Premium by $75-100 and really the net result will probably be this.

Xbox 360 > PS3 America

PS3 > Xbox 360 Europe

BUT the Xbox 360 may still take the holiday season due to the change in ratios from Europe to America and the more casual userbase buying the console then.

 

But see, Sony is desperate.  Microsoft is not.  I can't see MS forgoing quite a bit of profit just for fear of Sony winning one holiday season.  They didn't bother much in 07, and I don't see why the would now.   In 07, they did a 12.5% price drop (6% in the case of the Core, though they changed it to the Arcade around that time, iirc), and hoped Halo 3 would hold the fort.  They waited to substantially change the price when they were in a better position to do so, and when they truly needed to do so, a year later.

Now, the 360 is performing better than ever.  MS is in a rather comfy position, and I don't think they'll worry too much about one holiday season given how much money the 360 is probably bringing in at the moment, and could bring in over that period.  Sony is in catch up mode.  MS knows this, and realize that they have plenty of time to react to Sony's moves as a result.  If Sony performs so spectactularly this holiday season that they need to worry about it, they'll just do something big for holiday 2010.  Even if the ps3 performs amazingly well this holiday, MS will still be in the lead by millions.

I don't thing we'll see the 360 Pro dip below $250 this year, if it goes that low.  Arcade may drop to $179.



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starcraft said:
I'm not going to speculate as too the increase in PS3 sales. Certainly it is clear to all that such an early release of a PS3 Slim would be a sign of desperation, only possible due to the original removal of "core" PS3 features.

Furthermore, it is clear that this would signal (along with GT5's release) the end of almost anything significant Sony are capable of doing to push their console. If the results are anything less than extraordinary to the point of the relentless crushing of the Xbox 360 for months and months on end, it is the end of the PS3's chances of ending anything other than third.

One final point: In the last quarter Sony released what was arguably the most expensive shooter ever made. It was a first party title, maximizing revenue. They still lost over $200 million that quarter. Perhaps bear that in mind when discussing the $299 PS3 notion.

 

1. A PS3 Slim would allow for them to decrease production costs and drop the price. That is called business and not desperation. PS2 slim released something like 4 years after the original, PSP 3 years and not sure about PS1. The time has come for a Slim PS3 desperation or not. Now I know you are not going to say PS2 and PS1 going slim was a sign of desperation because that would be nothing short of retarded.

2. No idea what world you live in but the console is still $400, people can spout all the shit they want but fact of the matter is that $400 for a console is steep and they will not bite. $300 PS3 however it happened would sell more consoles, desperation is dropping the price of a console so that it is not the same as the competition as all one has going for it is saying "we're cheaper". No shit I'm talking about the 360. Was the PS3 not outselling the 360 before the price cut? PS3 was still more expensive then but the gap was much smaller. Hah.

3. Don't see where you are going with this as the thread is about PS3 Slim. It would reduce production costs of the console and allow for a price reduction to occur.

I don't know how this site was when the PS3 is outselling the 360 as I joined once the 360 has cut price. I assume if PS3 starts outselling 360 again it will be "360 is doomed to third place" correct? I assume it is universally accepted that IF yes IF the 360 and PS3 were the same price the PS3 would wipe the floor with 360. All I hear is "360 is cheaper so people will go for the cheaper option" thus it seems people are relying on people being cheap asses such as me renting games.



 

makingmusic476 said:
Squilliam said:
I would suspect that if Sony cut the price of the PS3 by $100, Microsoft would cut the price of the Xbox 360 Premium by $75-100 and really the net result will probably be this.

Xbox 360 > PS3 America

PS3 > Xbox 360 Europe

BUT the Xbox 360 may still take the holiday season due to the change in ratios from Europe to America and the more casual userbase buying the console then.

 

But see, Sony is desperate.  Microsoft is not.  I can't see MS forgoing quite a bit of profit just for fear of Sony winning one holiday season.  They didn't bother much in 07, and I don't see why the would now.   In 07, they did a 12.5% price drop (6% in the case of the Core, though they changed it to the Arcade around that time, iirc), and hoped Halo 3 would hold the fort.  They waited to substantially change the price when they were in a better position to do so, and when they truly needed to do so, a year later.

Now, the 360 is performing better than ever.  MS is in a rather comfy position, and I don't think they'll worry too much about one holiday season given how much money the 360 is probably bringing in at the moment, and could bring in over that period.  Sony is in catch up mode.  MS knows this, and realize that they have plenty of time to react to Sony's moves as a result.  If Sony performs so spectactularly this holiday season that they need to worry about it, they'll just do something big for holiday 2010.  Even if the ps3 performs amazingly well this holiday, MS will still be in the lead by millions.

I don't thing we'll see the 360 Pro dip below $250 this year, if it goes that low.  Arcade may drop to $179.

Halo 3 did carry Microsoft through the 07 holiday season, and the price differential helped them. The PS3 barely made any ground inspite of the massive price cut, such is the value of that series. They didn't need to act then. Microsoft is stronger during the holiday season with the lower price of their console and greater U.S. sales relative to Europe, Sony is stronger during the year. They cannot afford to lose a holiday season by any great margin because they would then lose the normal weeks in the follow year by quite a substantial margin as well. Furthermore they have more incentive to increase their userbase substantially, especially relative to Sony's PS3 because Xbox Live is quite the money spinner for them and they can afford the hardware losses short term for long term gains.

The Xbox 360 cannot sustain last years great holiday feats quite likely without a price drop. Furthermore its a perfect opportunity to take advantage of a Sony price drop by forcing them to take a bigger hit from the drop by performing one of their own so the PS3's sales would not rise as quickly as Sony would expect and damaging their overall margins to enforce a status quo where Microsoft can both profit and increase the distance between the two consoles.

 

 

 

 



Tease.

I haven't read this thread (I'm supposed to be working), but if this is true, what features are being cut out?



makingmusic476 said:

1.  Of course it's desperation.  Everyone knows they need to do something.  This something could be a game changer, however.

2. Outside of further price drops, yes.  Through various channels, I'm hearing that GT5 will make it out this year WW, and FFXIII should (through less accurate sources, but it makes sense from a logical standpoint) be hitting Japan at the end of the year as well.  These two things combined with a theoretical slim ps3 at $299 would be one hell of a combination, and if this can't help the ps3, then... hell, I can't think of any such favorable situation for a past struggling console to compare this too.  Halo 2's launch has nothing on this.

3. If they were only a publisher, Killzone 2's release would bear more significance.  Even making the liberal assumptions that they make ~$40 USD per copy of the game sold and that they shipped 1.5 million copies before the quarter was over, that would've only netter them $60 million in revenue.  Meanwhile, they would've lost $40 (maybe 45-50 after shipping, etc.) per ps3 on over 2 million sold in the same quarter, plus spent a good bit on R&D for the new PSP/PS3.

And yes, their losses on the surface make a $299 ps3 seem less likely, but keep in mind a number of things:

  • Sony has projected that they'll ship 13 million ps3s this FY, a 30% increase YoY, despite being down YoY thus far.  A price cut explains this.
  • They've projected similar losses to those from this past FY, despite theoretical gains from cost cutting measures (like the ps3 slim).  A price cut explains this.
  • They have big plans for the PSN, given Stringer's recent comments.  They plan to bring it to more platforms, with the ps3 as the ultimate hub.  Hell, they even combined Vaio and Walkman with SCE under Kaz Hirai's control, in a new division called "Networked Devices".  They've obviously got something in mind for all of this, and the ps3 is at the center of it all.  They probably plan to offset any losses incurred by the price cut with gains in other areas as a result of the price cut.  Combining SCE with two other profitable divisions also helps them to muddy the financial waters, helping to hide losses from a price cut from shareholders.

 

You are overlooking the fact the market has changed. This isn't 2002 anymore, in 2009 the game to own is Wii Sports.

The closest sibling to t he ps3 in the market is the 360 and as powerful as Halo 3 is it didn't do that much. Remember Halo 3 was released shortly after a pricecut as well.





Current-gen game collection uploaded on the profile, full of win and good games; also most of my PC games. Lucasfilm Games/LucasArts 1982-2008 (Requiescat In Pace).

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they have to make it look good though



 

 

 

 

HanzoTheRazor said:
kowenicki said:
can anyone translate cantonese??

 

It is not chinese! Don't people realise that Japanese use kanji; Chinese characters?

I can translate it. The 1st picture says; "WRAPED BOX", and the sencond says; "DON'T TURN UPSIDE DOWN". I cannot read the 2nd pictures 2nd kanji, but I can read the rest.

So, it being Nihongo (Japanese) just makes it that much more believable. I am leaning towards that it is a real rumour. Wether we hear it at E3 is another thing.

Ummm....hate to break it to you, but that is Chinese. I'm pretty decent at Japanese myself and I can only recognize some of the characters, but the writing is obviously not Japanese. Maybe you should ask one of your JP friends to try and read it. They might be able to figure out what it means(trying to decipher the Chinese Kanji), but they will tell you that it is not Japanese.

(Also the pictures came from a Chinese website, levelup.cn as you can see on the stamp)

 




starcraft: "I and every PS3 fanboy alive are waiting for Versus more than FFXIII.
Me since the games were revealed, the fanboys since E3."

Skeeuk: "playstation 3 is the ultimate in gaming acceleration"

I have to laugh at some of you. You guys seem to forget that only a few months ago before the 360 price drop that the PS3 was signifigantly outselling the 360 in Europe. running equal in the states and winning slimly in japan on a weekly basis. A slim at $300 would bring the price gap back to that point again, but in Japan the slimline factor mixed with FF13 would create a major boost in that country. I know 360 fans want to believe that the sales numbers are about the 360 being in demand, but the truth is it's about a major price gap. Also we don't exactly know where the Sony losses fall. they coald be due to shipping, they couyld be due to storage, they could be due to the designing of this slim model. Truth is we do not know how much Sony looses on the production cost of the PS3. We also do not know truly how much added little stuff that could be removed in a slim would cut costs. If we were experts we would be running these companies.



HanzoTheRazor said:
FF13 will kill it here in Japan when released. The HW boost alone for that will be the strongest Japan has seen till date.

Me thinks there will be plenty of 360 fanboys shaking at the knees now over this rumour. Silly, but true.

 

There is a lot of arrogance in your posts, which is unnecessary.

If Sony releases a slim PS3 at a 299, that would be amazing. Everyone would go out and buy one.

However, if Microsoft released a slim 360 at 99 dollars, everyone would go out and buy that instead.

These are rumors. Like MGS4. You remember that one? The one which claimed that the best PS3 exclusive would be released on the Xbox 360 with more content?

The truth is, until this is confirmed, it's all hope. You hope it happens. Some hope it doesn't. Honestly, who cares about the hope of biased fans? I certainly don't.

As for your assertion that FFXIII could somehow "swing" the console war in Sony's favor. It's just Japan. You think everyone who buys a copy of XIII will buy a PS3 to go with it?

Why don't you wait for your rumor to be officially confirmed because you start gloating, and ironically degrading other fanboys.



I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.

NO NO, NO NO NO.

SWA_JM_Obi-Wan said:
I have to laugh at some of you. You guys seem to forget that only a few months ago before the 360 price drop that the PS3 was signifigantly outselling the 360 in Europe. running equal in the states and winning slimly in japan on a weekly basis. A slim at $300 would bring the price gap back to that point again, but in Japan the slimline factor mixed with FF13 would create a major boost in that country. I know 360 fans want to believe that the sales numbers are about the 360 being in demand, but the truth is it's about a major price gap. Also we don't exactly know where the Sony losses fall. they coald be due to shipping, they couyld be due to storage, they could be due to the designing of this slim model. Truth is we do not know how much Sony looses on the production cost of the PS3. We also do not know truly how much added little stuff that could be removed in a slim would cut costs. If we were experts we would be running these companies.

Why would you laugh at someone's opinion? Isn't that a tad passive agressive.

THEN is not NOW. Brand recognition and acceptance changes with time. Price is not always the absolute decider. By the time Gamecube hit 99 dollars, its brand had already been tarnished enough for it not to matter. You can't base sales trends on such simple deductions.

The whole point of the "Slim" design is to remarket the PS3 as a "new and better version" most notably in the states, where its brand, frankly, sucks.

Console redesigns, like color changes, are marketing schemes. They can give a console a fresh start, like the DS-Lite, or they can reup sales by increasing functionality and destroying stigma, like the PS2 slim. A 360 redesign could derail the RRoD argument, for instance.

In the case of the PS3, the redesign wouldn't be aimed at destroying a faulty hardware stigma or increasing functionality. It would be aimed at destroying the poor brand acceptance and price stigma surrounding the PS3, worldwide. It would be nothing short of a relaunch of the console.



I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.

NO NO, NO NO NO.