Well title says it all... Discuss

I don't think that The Conduit will help rising the hardware sales of the Wii at all. 50% market share is possible but not in a short term (If it isn't happening this christmas I cannot imagine it will ever catch the 50%).

MH3, some but only in Japan.
I doubt The Conduit will move any hardware.
Wii Sports Resorts will help, but slowly (as in long after, not just the first week burst)

edit: fixed couple of things

They sure can't hurt.

it has a chance when all the games start pouring after e3.

I think it could be just Wii Sports Resort....

If this title alone can't bring the Wii to 50%, then it will not happen until a price drop.

there will be small gains and as 360 reachs it's peek and starts to drop wii will pass 50% maybe 55% there is an outside chance it will reach 60% but this will dependent on how well PS3 sells over the next couple of years.

The Conduit probably won't help push hardware at all (as in < 30K)

MH3 won't help at all in Americas/Others. How much will it push in Japan? Well, however much it might be, it will only increase by a slight amount. What? 500K over a long, long period? That's actually rather optimistic. (As I see it, close to the BCS) It isn't really that essential overall.

I'm not sure how much Wii Sports Resort will do. I don't really see it being a major hardware pusher, as Wii Sports has been one of the main reason to buy the Wii for over 2 years now. Will Wii Sports and Wii Sports Resort push people who didn't buy one before over?

MH3 and WSR yes. The Conduit, maybe...

Wii Sports Resort will. MH3 will give a pretty nice boost in Japan at it's launch, but probably nothing that makes a huge difference.