November prediction winner!

## Forums - Sales Discussion - November prediction winner!

http://www.vgcharts.org/forum/thread.php?id=57 for the original predictions! Now let's see how it works: The closest one to november totals (HW and SW) wins. I calculated each one's totals, and we have: November HW totals 4.463.000 1- Zsidane 3.990.000 (-) 473.000 (nothing to be proud of ) 2- Square07 3.965.000 (-) 498.000 3- Mrstickball 3.606.000 (-) 857.000 4- Wii_gamer 3.490.000 (-) 973.000 5- Komodo 2.134.000 (-) 2.329.000 (maybe next time Komodo ) Now, total SH (GoW, Zelda, FFXII, Red Steel & Resistance): 2.787.000 1- Zsidane 2.480.000 (-) 307.000 2- Komodo 2.190.000 (-) 597.000 3- Square07 2.133.000 (-) 654.000 4- Wii_gamer 1.915.000 (-) 963.000 5 -Mrstickball 3.995.000 (+) 1.208.000 So, who's the man?

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zsidane said: http://www.vgcharts.org/forum/thread.php?id=57 for the original predictions! Now let's see how it works: The closest one to november totals (HW and SW) wins. I calculated each one's totals, and we have: November HW totals 4.463.000 1- Zsidane 3.990.000 (-) 473.000 (nothing to be proud of ) 2- Square07 3.965.000 (-) 498.000 3- Mrstickball 3.606.000 (-) 857.000 4- Wii_gamer 3.490.000 (-) 973.000 5- Komodo 2.134.000 (-) 2.329.000 (maybe next time Komodo ) Now, total SH (GoW, Zelda, FFXII, Red Steel & Resistance): 2.787.000 1- Zsidane 2.480.000 (-) 307.000 2- Komodo 2.190.000 (-) 597.000 3- Square07 2.133.000 (-) 654.000 4- Wii_gamer 1.915.000 (-) 963.000 5 -Mrstickball 3.995.000 (+) 1.208.000 So, who's the man?
Haha, congratulations!! When I have chance I'll go back and do a proper analysis. What we were planning to do was find the % error for each comparison. For example, if you guessed 800,000 for Gears of War and the actual amount was 1,000,000 then your guess compared to the actual amount is -20% out (800,000 / 1,000,000) = 80%, so 20% out. Similarly if you'd guessed 1,200,000 you'd be +20% out. Add up all the % errors, and divide by the number of predictions (to find the mean % error) and then compare with everyone else... I think Gears of War, PS2 and GBA threw a lot of people this month!!

well, I predicted more something like 250k for the Cube Hope that there will be more poeple for December predictions

Not too bad on my h/w predictions considering I had GBA at 30k...LOL. S/W, I knew I predicted GoW a few units higher (I went back and said 1.1-1.3m in a later post)

Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

zsidane said: well, I predicted more something like 250k for the Cube Hope that there will be more poeple for December predictions
Hey, your avatar, is that the guy from Megadeath that used to be in Metallica back in the day?

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Yeah, his name's Dave Mustaine and the picture is from 1990's Rust In Peace album back cover.