By Jan09:
PS3:18 million at least.
X360:20million at least.
These predictions are more rough than tree bark but whatever.All i did was use the data on each console now look at how they fare up to one another i.ePS3 selling pretty close to X360,X360 now on 10.5million WW after 1.5years at the end of 08 it would have been out 3years equaling 21million sold if sales continue like this.PS3 tracking close to X360,X360 sold 7million in 1st year only being available in NA for 05 Christmas,PS3 only available in JPN and NA for 06 Christmas.PS3 tracking just above X360 by about 100k units at the moment.I expect atleast 8million WW for PS3 at the end of 07 so at the end of 08 i expect atleast 18million PS3's, sales rise due to anticipated games and price cuts.
FinalFantasy the biggest RPG ever, sells the best in JPN where its No.2 on the Famitsu chart of anticipated games which is voted by reader of the magazine.It will sell alot of consoles every where and will sell atleast FFXII numbers(userbase smalller,yet its meant to be the second coming of FFVII)FFXII sold 4.94million.JPN PS3 sales are 1.16million after just under a year so add on a Christmas say 500k(atleast) and double making the PS3 user base by the end of 08 3.2million.Atleast 2million of them will pick up FFXIII you cant deny that,It will sell atleast 500k of consoles being one of the most anticipated titles.NA sales of PS3 will be 4million by the end of 08 i would say atleast 1million would pick up FFXIII and it sells 250k consoles atleast.EU 1.32million WITHOUT a Christmas so add 750k for Christmas making near 2million end of 08 sales 4million FFXIII selling atleast to 1.5million plus 250k of console sellings.These end of 08 sales by region are just doubling the previous trends without taking into account console sellers(Killzone2,MGS4,GT5,LBP etc) and market changes and price cuts etc.
So if i take an average of both end of 08 PS3 userbase estimates bearing in mind one has price cuts,market changes and anticipated titles on it the other doesnt i would say atleast 15.5million PS3's sold by the end of 08
Total FFXIII sellings on PS3 userbase(11million-18million) by end of 08=5.5million so it breaks 5million with about a 75% attach rate at launch but that attach rate drops with every console sold so by the end of the PS3 life i expect the attach rate to be about 6-9%.
End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)
PlayStation 4: 12-15million
Xbox One: 7-10 million
Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)