Quantcast
Nintendo's Wii: Beating the PlayStation 2 a Real Possibility?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo's Wii: Beating the PlayStation 2 a Real Possibility?

Not possibility.

 

Reality.

Wii lifetime sales: 240,000,000 at VERY LEAST. 

John Lucas



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

Around the Network
johnlucas said:

Not possibility.

 

Reality.

Wii lifetime sales: 240,000,000 at VERY LEAST.

John Lucas

Oh my god

 



 
johnlucas said:

Not possibility.

 

Reality.

Wii lifetime sales: 240,000,000 at VERY LEAST.

John Lucas


 Looks like someone is drinking :D



I doubt wii sales will ever beat the ps2. here is my reasoning.

 

1. Despite the Wii's very impressive hardware performance, i find to a certain extent that 3rd party titles are shunned. Furthermore, casual gamers who bought the wii are not going to go out and buy every new game even if it is fantastic. I'm sure many of them are perfectly content with Wii Sports & Cooking Mama. For this reason there will lots of Wii's out (many collecting dust) but the software attach rates (not including Wii Play) will be relatively poor.

2. The Wii was cracked VERY quickly. We are not talking the disc swapping / cog sliding that was required when the ps2 first was able to play backup games. We are talking no-swap booting of ALL gamecube & wii titles within an extremely short time from the console's release (the focus here being *anyone* can use a no-swap modded console to play backup games, no complicated procedures). In contrast, it took a few years for the ps2 to get no-swap modchips, and the first ones were expensive and absurdly complicated to install. It took 3+ years to be able to buy a cheap ps2 modchip with a low wire count. My main point here is that as Wii popularity grows and the install base grows, the demand for modchips will stay very steady, and since it is already going on and will be for the remainder of the life of the console, it has the potential hinder Wii software sales.

3. The United States is expected to slide into a recession in the near future. With the declining value of the US dollar and stagnating wages, people will find that everyday necessities cost more. The first thing reduced or cut out (depending on severity) of people's lives given a recession is discretionary spending. Given that the US is a sustantial purchaser of all consumer electronics, to say that the Wii will clear over 100 million at this point in time is uncertain at best.

there are other points i'd bring up, but these 3 seem like the most relevant.

cheers



Demon's Souls Official Thread  | Currently playing: Left 4 Dead 2, LittleBigPlanet 2, Magicka

1. We're not talking software. We're talking hardware.
2. The PSP is currently living on the life support that is hacking and piracy. And it's doing very well on it.
3. How does this have... anything to do with this?



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007