on 06 September 2007
Lots of responding...
Doubt it, wii price point is its big advantage. But the others will/are coming down in price.
As will the Wii when demand stops outstripping supply.
The sales of the 360/PS3 will be more then xbox/GC, which will stop the wii form ever getting close to the PS2 numbers, plus the PS2 had so much third party support compared to the xbox/GC, the wii does not have that power over the 360/PS3. With all the major game companies making the 360/PS3 the main system to develop for.
Incorrect on two fronts. First, the PS3 is still selling slower than either the Xbox or GameCube. The 360 has been sluggish and is in need of some serious boosts if it wants to put up a fight either. To claim that the Wii is not pulling as much force this generation as the PS2 last generation is stretching things a bit. Second, the Wii is quickly garnering third-party support (some of which is killing PS3/360 exclusivity).
The PS, when it came out, was graphically quite powerful given the technology of the generation.
The PS2 was the weakest of the three consoles in its generation.
The bottom line is that the Wii probably has a 4-5 year shelf life tops and I highly expect it will hit, at max, 50% of the lifetime sales of the PS2.
Even at its current rate, to hit half the PS2 (currently slightly under a 60m goal) would only take another 3.5 years. This is excluding holiday sales, price cuts, and third-party preference.
PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)
If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.
Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007