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Forums - Sales Discussion - 1 week and DS will hit 50 million

Erik Aston on 06 September 2007

Also note that 50 million puts DS past the SNES.

BTW, those saying "the DS could hit 60 million by the end of 2007" are really underestimating the momentum. The DS had only shipped 40.28M units at the end of March 2007. Now it's about to hit 50M in sell-through. So it sold 10M units over 5 1/2 non-holiday months. There is absolutely no question that it will sell through 10 million in the 3 months of the holiday quarter.

My prediction: DS will reach 100M shipped by the end of December, 2008.



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

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Parokki on 06 September 2007

With the amount of momentum the DS has, the only thing that could stop it is Nintendo cancelling it early in favour of a new handheld. I don't think there's much of a chance of that happening in a few years as long as IT PRINTS MONEY!!! as well as it does now.



KillerMan on 06 September 2007

''Also note that 50 million puts DS past the SNES.'''

I think that its is difficult compare home console and handheld because: A) You can buy many handhelds in family but one home console service everyone. B) handheld starts cheaper than home consoles and reaches masses faster. C) Games are cheaper.



Erik Aston on 06 September 2007
ioi said:
Yes, DS will pass 60m by the end of the year in just 3 years which is a record that is unlikely to be beaten (challenge there for Wii).

I think we should put together a press release again if people would be interested, the last one is fun and we should put out good news.

Other stuff we could do:

- Halo 3 week one sales
- PS3 reaching 5 million
- Wii > 360 + PS3
- PSP passing 25m

Plenty of ideas...

Don't go releasing too many while people are only starting to accept the validity of the site. Especially don't do anything like Halo 3 week 1 sales, when week 1 sales have been probably the biggest weak point in your data collection. Microsoft will have their own (slew of) press releases regarding Halo 3 sales anyways.

And I don't think having press releases for everytime a big mark like 5M, 10M, 25M, 50M etc. is broken is a good idea. You already missed a couple 10M marks recently already.

Maybe one showing how the all-time hardware chart has changed since March/April would be cool, and it would sum up a lot of big ones both that you missed recently and that are coming up soon...

5/6 months ago:

1. GB
2. PS2
3. PS
4. GBA
5. NES
6. SNES
7. DS
8. N64
9. Genesis
10. XB
11. GC
12. PSP
13. Game Gear
14. Dreamcast
15. X360 or Saturn?

Soon (bold=moved up):

1. PS2
2. GB
3. PS
4. GBA
5. NES
6. DS
7. SNES
8. N64
9. Genesis
10. PSP
11. XB
12. GC
13. Wii
14. X360
15. Game Gear



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

konnichiwa on 06 September 2007
KillerMan said:
''Also note that 50 million puts DS past the SNES.'''

I think that its is difficult compare home console and handheld because: A) You can buy many handhelds in family but one home console service everyone. B) handheld starts cheaper than home consoles and reaches masses faster. C) Games are cheaper.

 And   D) The gameboy already passed the Snes so why is it special that DS do the same?






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Fonzerelli on 06 September 2007

Nintendo might replace their pillar once GBA is retired. A portable GameCube/Wii to replace the GBA should be considered a possibility. Maybe by 2008/2009



Heeeeyyyy!!!! <Snap>

MusicAddict911 on 07 September 2007
fkusumot said:
The DS has a chance to become the best selling game system ever if it can shake off the perception that it's just a game system. Right now in Japan about a quarter of the software coming out is purely educational. Some schools have their own programs/carts made and the students do schoolwork on their DS. The "My French/Spanish Coach" titles are coming out soon and if they sell in the Americas then maybe there will be more. That kind of edutainment software will break down the perception that the DS is just a game system and the public may start seeing value when they see a kid playing with their DS instead of something they need to write about to their congressman and have banned. Localizing the Yoga Trainer is also another hopeful start. And I can't wait to see the Naked Chef's cookbook on the DS, woohoo!

Sigh, I realize your point here but IMO I really don't want any more educational titles. Stop the brain age / big brain academy bull and bring back the real games that we all knew and loved.

MusicAddict911
Ishy on 07 September 2007

But isn't it a gimmick =O



Why not add me on msn... ish_187@hotmail.co.uk

- - - > ¤ « ~ N i n t e n d o ~ » ¤ < - - -
Games purchased since December 30th 2006:
GBA:The Legend of Zelda:The Minish Cap
DS:Lunar Knights, Pokemon Diamond, The Legend of Zelda: Phantom Hourglass ,Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare, Hotel Dusk:Room 215, Mario vs DK 2: March of the Mini's and Picross DS
PS2: Devil May Cry 3:Dante's Awakening, Shadow of the Colosuss, Sega Mega Drive Collection, XIII , Sonic Mega Collection,Fifa 08 and Fifa 09.
GC:Fight Night Round 2
Wii VC:Super Mario 64 ,Lylat Wars ,Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest, Super Castlevania IV, Sonic the Hedgehog 2, Streets of Rage, Kirby's Adventure, Super Metroid, Super Mario Bros. 3, Mega Man 2Street Fighter 2 Turbo: Hyper Fighting,Wave Race 64 and Lost Winds

Wii: Sonic and the Secret Rings, Godfather:Blackhand Edition, Red Steel, Tony Hawks Downhill Jam, Eledees, Rayman Raving Rabbids, Mario Strikers Charged Football,Metroid Prime 3: Corruption, Super Mario Galaxy,House of the Dead 2 and 3 Return, Wii Fit, No More Heroes and Super Smash Bros. Brawl.

X360: Spider Man
PS3: Resistance: Fall of Man

 

 

 

 

WiteoutKing on 07 September 2007
Erik Aston said:

5/6 months ago:

1. GB
2. PS2

Soon (bold=moved up):

1. PS2
2. GB


 I was wondering how long it would take for people to notice this monumental event.  It's on the horizon, can the PS2 pull it off?



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

TheBigFatJ on 07 September 2007

The DS is selling at quite a bit faster pace than the PS2 has. After this holiday, it will be easy to make interesting comparisons since this point into the PS2's life cycle it was in the middle of holiday sales.

It's interesting to note that the Wii is selling quite a bit faster than the DS at its relative life point.