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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict the percent (%) of market share for the Wii, PS3, 360 by gen's end

Hilarious!

I think this is pointless, as there will not be a "single day" the generation ends. The GC/XBOX have stopped selling - yet the PS2 is still selling.

I'll make MY predictions as to market share, Jan 1st 2010:

Wii - 85m --> 53%

360 - 38m --> 24%

PS3 - 37m --> 23%

...

You have to expect the (360 + PS3) to have at LEAST a 40% marketshare - maybe even 60%. Anything under 40% is not realistic IMO.

 



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wii-55
360 27.5
pse 27.5

tied

and btw no one can prdict the future



                 With regard to Call of Duty 4 having an ultra short single player campaign, I guess it may well have been due to the size limitations of DVD on the XBox 360, one of various limitations multi-platform game designers will have to take into consideration-Mike B   

Proud supporter of all 3 console companys

Proud owner of 360wii and DS/psp              

Game trailers-Halo 3 only dissapointed the people who wanted to be dissapointed.

Bet with Harvey Birdman that Lost Odyssey will sell more then Blue dragon did.

Wii: 50
360: 24
PS3: 26



http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">

You have to wonder if 10 years from now someone is going to see this post and actually think what a bunch of idiots =P

Anyways, here is my addition =)

Wii - 48-56%
PS3 - 23-27%
360 - 21-25%



To Each Man, Responsibility

Pretty much agree with masschamber and shams.

Wii- 50%
360- 24-26%
PS3- 24-26%



Consoles I Own: NES, SNES, N64, GC, GBA, DS, X360, Wii

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MontanaHatchet said:
Since no one can predict the future, you might as well have just called this the, "How Big of a Fanboy Are you?" thread.

Most people are just guessing some ridiculous console domination and not actually using common sense. Here are my predictions...

PS3: 42%

Xbox 360: 33%

Wii: 25%

Well, it's all guessing, but according to you, PS2 defied logic last generation. It was the least poweful console, it was more expensive than the GC, didn't had the best rated game last gen and still managed to hold around 70% of marketshare (if we count the Dreamcast)



Soriku said:
GranTurismo said:
darthdevidem said:
40% - PS3

39% - WII

21% - Xbox 360

I pretty much agree with this, The PS3 with the lead.

@Soriku, your numbers made me laugh 9% for the PS3. But everyone has the right to their own predictions, also what are your total sales that you would come up with that you think the PS3 will get 9%?


 

So...how come you're not complaining about Rol's 7%?

Because i remember RoL's predicions from another thread he said it will pretty much sell to every man, woman and child in the world :P



fazz said:
MontanaHatchet said:
Since no one can predict the future, you might as well have just called this the, "How Big of a Fanboy Are you?" thread.

Most people are just guessing some ridiculous console domination and not actually using common sense. Here are my predictions...

PS3: 42%

Xbox 360: 33%

Wii: 25%

Well, it's all guessing, but according to you, PS2 defied logic last generation. It was the least poweful console, it was more expensive than the GC, didn't had the best rated game last gen and still managed to hold around 70% of marketshare (if we count the Dreamcast)


Yeah, but something like 85% market share is just freakin' stupid.

____________________________________________________________

Soriku said:
@Montana

Hmm...isn't that what you're doing?

HOW will the Wii acquire less market share when it goes for a virtually BIGGER market other than hardcores? The Wii is for "everyone (the way VGs should be)," not just the hardcore.

____________________________________________________________ 

The Wii may aim for a larger market, but it doesn't mean that it will succeed. Maybe I irk you, but this thread is really nothing more than a way to show your fanboyism. I mean, the PS3 has about 17% market share right now, but many people are predicting it to have 10 or less by the "end"...

1. What end?

2. How is that possible? How could it sell any worse? 

3.  I think it was Stof who said this, but this generation will not just "end" at one distinctive point.



 

 

Well i have 2 predictions:
January 1st 2012(i predict the end of the gen as Wii2/PS4/Xbox3 will release in November 2011.(rough %'s).
PS3:70million-40%
Wii:65million-38%
X360:25million-22%

End of gen(when ALL consoles stop selling):
PS3:80million-45%
Wii:65million-35%
X360:25million-20%



End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)

PlayStation 4: 12-15million

Xbox One: 7-10 million

Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)

@Soriku:
Your lowest predictions only reach 90% and your most predictions reach 110%.



End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)

PlayStation 4: 12-15million

Xbox One: 7-10 million

Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)