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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Have Nintendo officially won this generation?

sethnintendo on 16 February 2009

@Infinity, how is the Wii in decline when they are selling more this year weekly than last year.



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pakidan101 on 16 February 2009

I don't know...never say never.

Although it seems impossible for positions to switch, "never count your eggs before they hatch."

Please mind the fact that my idea seems crazy...I do believe I have caught the flu



Explanation of sig:

I am a Pakistani.....my name is Dan....how hard is that? (Don't ask about the 101...apparantely there are more of me out there....)

Oyvoyvoyv on 16 February 2009
Infinity said:
It's too early to call this generation. Wii is in decline and may still fall from the top spot. 360 will sell less than the PS3 for sure. My predictions are in my sig.

Okay...

 

Ps3 will not > 60M

Ps3 may > Wii

 

There's a chance Wii won't sell 60M?  Seems pretty slim to me...

 



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Mummelmann on 16 February 2009

OP; seems obvious from where I'm sitting. Not everyone agrees but it'd take nothing short of a miracle for trends to shift that drastically.
That said, I am one of those who believe that the PS3 will end up in second place by the end of the gen.



TheSource on 16 February 2009

No such thing as 'official' in the way that you mean.

Nintendo has been the uninterrupted leader of portable gaming for ~30 years now (Game & Watch, Game Boy, Game Boy Color, GBA, DS, DSi)

The switch for consoles was in the year ending March 1998 when Sony shipped more consoles (PS1) than Nintendo did (N64 + SNES + NES) for the first time after just missing in the year ending March 1997.

There is a transition back toward Nintendo occuring right now. In the year ending March 2008, Nintendo shipped 18.61m Wiis and something like .1m GCs, while Sony shipped 13.73m PS2s, and 9.24m PS3s.

In the year ending March 2009, Nintendo will ship ~26.5m Wiis and Sony will ship ~8m PS2s and ~10m PS3s.

PS2 demand (in terms of stores buying PS2s) is pretty much over now given that Sony shipped only 20,000 more PS2s worldwide in the quarter ending Dec 2008 (whereas DS, PSP, PS3, Wii, 360 had shipments climb by 50-100%) than in the quarter ending September 2008, so the year ending March 2010 will be solidly in favor of Nintendo, perhaps something like 25-35m Wiis to 4m PS2s and 12.5m PS3s.

 



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Hammertime on 16 February 2009
TheSource said:

No such thing as 'official' in the way that you mean.

Nintendo has been the uninterrupted leader of portable gaming for ~30 years now (Game & Watch, Game Boy, Game Boy Color, GBA, DS, DSi)

The switch for consoles was in the year ending March 1998 when Sony shipped more consoles (PS1) than Nintendo did (N64 + SNES + NES) for the first time after just missing in the year ending March 1997.

There is a transition back toward Nintendo occuring right now. In the year ending March 2008, Nintendo shipped 18.61m Wiis and something like .1m GCs, while Sony shipped 13.73m PS2s, and 9.24m PS3s.

In the year ending March 2009, Nintendo will ship ~26.5m Wiis and Sony will ship ~8m PS2s and ~10m PS3s.

PS2 demand (in terms of stores buying PS2s) is pretty much over now given that Sony shipped only 20,000 more PS2s worldwide in the quarter ending Dec 2008 (whereas DS, PSP, PS3, Wii, 360 had shipments climb by 50-100%) than in the quarter ending September 2008, so the year ending March 2010 will be solidly in favor of Nintendo, perhaps something like 25-35m Wiis to 4m PS2s and 12.5m PS3s.

 

erm...is that a yes or a no then?

 



daactualfact on 16 February 2009

infinity is on something.

ot: wii won.



Damn things have changed since 2009 began. Here are my new visions for the end of the generation.

 

Wii: 135 mil

Ps3: 85 mil

360: 60 mil

True Genius
Infinity on 16 February 2009
Pristine20 said:
Infinity said:
It's too early to call this generation. Wii is in decline and may still fall from the top spot. 360 will sell less than the PS3 for sure. My predictions are in my sig.

you really think so?

 

I think it is possible. By no means am I predicting that it will LIKELY happen. We will have to wait and see how well the Wii performs, particularly next holiday season. Without a steep drop in momentum by the Wii soon though, or something else unforeseen happening, Nintendo will be able to call it.

 



TWRoO on 16 February 2009
Infinity said:
Pristine20 said:
Infinity said:
It's too early to call this generation. Wii is in decline and may still fall from the top spot. 360 will sell less than the PS3 for sure. My predictions are in my sig.

you really think so?

 

I think it is possible. By no means am I predicting that it will LIKELY happen. We will have to wait and see how well the Wii performs, particularly next holiday season. Without a steep drop in momentum by the Wii soon though, or something else unforeseen happening, Nintendo will be able to call it.

 

Are you also expecting the DS fall to the PSP? because I don't see any logic in thinking that the Wii will see a "steep drop in momentum" but the other two consoles won't.

 



Infinity on 16 February 2009
sethnintendo said:
@Infinity, how is the Wii in decline when they are selling more this year weekly than last year.

 

I think that the explosive growth phase of the Wii is over and should taper off to lower levels soon.