How'd you come up with 94% of all people at your Gamestop that want H3 already have an X360?

probably not unless microsoft does something really big to help boost sales. If it was coming out next week it would be possible though.

I just hope halo 3 moves alot of consoles, but at least after halo 3 comes out we still have a very promising line up

Right now we're looking at around 7.0 Million Xbox 360's in the US by launch. Preorders and first week sales are on track for at least 2.5 Million, first month sales of at least 4.0 Million. I think its highly unlikely that Halo 3 will have an attach rate of over 50% within a month of launch. I think that Halo 3 will cause Xbox 360 sales to jump to an average of 185K a week for the first four weeks (including launch week). It'll go up & down, but basically sales of 740K around Halo 3 Launch.

Wii sales will drift down a bit further, because I think Nintendo will starve the supply channels a bit more, to try and insure the Wii is still the hot item this Xmas (give up September a bit, to insure a mega Holiday Season). The Wii will still have World Wide sales in the area of at least 160k a week.

The Xbox jump from Halo 3 alone simply won't be near enough to boost it past the Wii. It would take an enormous jump, best case 600K consoles first two launch weeks and a sustained boost for at least another two or three weeks to even tie the Wii. I just can't see that happening at this current rate.

The wildcard is whether Madden and Price Drop can boost sales even higher world wide (from Europe), but just can't imagine it happening.


However I believe Halo 3 will cement the Xbox 360 as the dominant console in America for all of 2007.

The only reason , for NINTENDO has na reached 20 million units in actual sales
is, that the factory cant produce 2 millon units per month
And this cause a launch delay, in official sales for CHINA-INDIA-PAKISTAN and other asian markets
ITS a fact that nintendo WII is the best selled console in history, and when finally the factorys dubs production, and go to china markets, in a few months, the wii sales underpass the rest of the word sales

darkfire Worldwide Wii sales will not go down to 160k/week [have they ever been that low?] if nintendo have to starve shipments, which i am doubting, i dont see it going below 200k.

I really don't think that Halo 3 is going to boost sales that much. Because of games like Gears of War, most of the people that want a 360 already have a 360. The system is still at a pretty high price point and the RRD issue has not been fully resolved.

Halo 3 is going to sell very well, but it is not going to make the 360 catch the Wii.

Most likely not. Mostly cause Halo is only collosal in America and not so much in the other regions.

Yeah so i'm sure most people here agree that Halo 3 would have to do something miraculous to get 360 back on top, which is highly unlikely. Nintendo can't really push systems with the shortages that are happening, but it doesn't need to. Wii's selling too much, too fast.

pretty much a unanimous no then... if only the rest of the internet would understand, there seem to be a lot of people out there think the 360 will suddenly sell a million consoles on Halos release.

I dont think it will.