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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How long Until the Wii reach 50% Market share?

JHawkNH on 02 March 2009
CommunistHater said:
October maybe but never again after Christmas

 

 I will have to disagree with you on that one to a point.  I do not believe that once the Wii passes 50% it will give up that 50% until the PS3 has a price cut (and matching price cut by the 360).  And I can't see a price cut this year for the PS3.  Sony just can't afford it.

Even then the Wii may regain the 50% later on in it's life.



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Carl on 02 March 2009

Good thread

But... ive noticed that the PS3 has actually GAINED some market share since christmas... im sure it was at 21.1% now its at 21.3%. This cant be good for the Wii... and with the impending PS3 price cut it could put an even bigger dent into the 50% mark.
But that being said... when was the last Wii pricecut?



                            

kylohk on 02 March 2009

^It is very easy to gain marketshare - Just sell a larger percentage of consoles continuously than your current marketshare.

No matter how much the PS3 gains in sales, they can't affect the Wii's chances if the Wii continues having the same percentage of consoles sold. Although the 360 will be affected.



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JHawkNH on 02 March 2009

Data for 2/20/09

Raw Data:

 

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
Wii 47,233,092 46,794,327 45,500,585 38,455,085
360 28,725,717 28,499,449 27,909,466 24,013,723
PS3 20,616,911 20,459,978 20,026,771 17,506,395

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii 438,765 433,127 731,501
360 226,268 204,063 392,666
PS3 156,933 147,535 259,210

Conculsions:

 

  Number of weeks to 50% based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii 38.0 25.9 26.5

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
2/20/2009 2/13/2009 1/23/2009 11/28/2008

I believe that the best bet is the 4 week average becase this will average out the supply jumps and slumps for the Wii.



Mr Khan on 02 March 2009

So it gets pushed back again, eh? Basically take through September now?



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Dampfi on 02 March 2009

I think the Wii will surpass 50% by the middle of the year. EU and US sales are still strong, Monster Hunter will help in Japan.



JHawkNH on 10 March 2009

Data for 2/27/09

Raw Data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
Wii 47,565,744 47,226,597 46,014,645 39,483,292
360 28,913,386 28,725,742 28,127,930 24,607,929
PS3 20,809,951 20,610,223 20,179,717 17,859,241

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii 339,147 387,775 673,538
360 187,644 196,364 358,788
PS3 199,728 157,559 245,893

Conculsions:

 

  Number of weeks to 50% based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Wii N/A 63.7 31.3

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
2/27/2009 2/20/2009 1/30/2009 12/5/2008

The reason for the N/A is because the PS3+360 > Wii this week.



rubido on 20 March 2009

Just to appear as my last posted thread.



1337 Gamer on 20 March 2009

it depends on whether or not the wii bubble has burst or not. But it will probably be this year



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Bullet100000 on 20 March 2009

I dont think it will.



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