Personally, I think everyone has learned from Sony's mistake. Every console manufacturer will likely stick to similar architectures. Although Microsoft will have the most powerful console, it won't be by much. It will simply be for bragging rights.
Microsoft: Personally, I can see Microsoft sticking with IBM + ATI for simplicity and backwards compatability. I don't know why but I think that although Nintendo proved that raw power isn't needed, Microsoft will simply not let Sony have the performance crown. They will probably capitalize on the fact that Sony can't spend too much money developing another powerhouse and will bring out their own. The Power 7 CPU will be available next year and may be viable for their next console. The power 7 will give them 100% backwards compatability with the Xbox 360. Another ATI GPU seems logical. The highest current generation R700 GPUs already break 2,000 Gigaflops, by the time the Xbox 720 comes out, 2Teraflops should be affordable for Microsoft. Microsoft will cave in and use Blu-ray.
Xbox 360 Xbox 720 Xenon CPU 3 PPC cores 2 threads(6 total) 3.2Ghz Power7 based CPU 8 POWER7 cores 4 threads(32 total) 4.2 Ghz Xenos GPU 500 Mhz 240 Gigaflops ATI R800 GPU 800 Mhz 2200 Gigaflops 512MB GDDR3 10MB eDRAM 4GB GDDR4 80MB eDRAM
CPU:
GPU:
Memory:
Sony: For better or for worse, Sony is stuck with the Cell architecture. Any attempt to switch architectures would essentially make backwards compatability with the PS3 impossible and waste millions spent in research. Luckily, by the PS4's launch developers will already be familiar with the Cell architecture and should be able to exploit its raw power without too much trouble. The Cell2 CPU is suppose to come out in 2010, making it the logical choise. Unlike the Cell processor, it is not revolutionary, simple evolutionary. The PS4's CPU will definetely be more powerful than the Xbox 720's, however, it will most likely have a weaker GPU. The GPU will likely be an Nvidia GPU to maintain backwards compatability. Sony will stick with Blu-ray.
Playstation 3 | Playstation 4 | ||
CPU: |
Cell CPU 1 PPC core 7 SPE 3.2Ghz
|
Cell 2 CPU 2 POWER6 cores 16 SPE 4Ghz
|
|
GPU: |
RSX 500-550 Mhz* 200 Gigaflops
|
GeForce 400 GPU 850Mhz 1800 Gigaflops
|
|
Memory: |
256MB GDDR3 256MB 3.2Ghz XDR |
2GB GDDR4 1GB 8Ghz XDR2 |
*Sony refuses to release the official specs of RSX. Although most insiders agree that it is 500Mhz, there are a few that say 550Mhz.
Nintendo: Nitendo is...Well... Nintendo... I'm not really interested in putting up specs for the Wii2. They will most likely be too similar to the Xbox 360.
And those are my predictions. I'm really interested to see what other people think will happen. Please try to consider the economy and each company's situation... Yes, it would be nice if Sony could once again release a revolutionary console, but they simply don't have the resources. Please don't post a Cell 2 CPU with 64 SPEs and dual G300... Same thing for MS fanboys, don't post crazy specs like a 16 core Power7 (I am well aware that they exist) or dual larrabees.
Good news Everyone!
I've invented a device which makes you read this in your head, in my voice!