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Locked: Prediction: PS3 will sell 100 mln. by the end of 2012

Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: PS3 will sell 100 mln. by the end of 2012

@ amp316

So you expect the PS3 to sell 140 million?


HDTV penetration is going up (by 2016 a vast majority of TVs in usage), developers have begun to really tap the PS3's potential. A cheaper slimline with a PS2 emulator, then yes I see no reason why not?

IMO at some point biased US media will have to give in, just like with regard to the real situation in Iraq.



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@shams, it will be around 3 mln. by the end of January 2009 in Japan. Japanese Christmas boost end later then in west.
And come on, BIGGEST PS3 game in Japan - FFXIII is only to be released in 2009.
AND PRICE, PS3 hasn`t reached even 29k yen price in Japan, that will help a LOT, same for SLIM version.

As i said - on AVERAGE, that means it can sell 3 mln. in 2009, and 5 mln. in 2010.
PS3 is ONLY HD console in Japan, Wii and PS3 CAN co-exist. :)

About Europe. So.. you expect PS3 to sell worse then x360 with a PRICECUT? With KZ2, FFXIII, GT5? WHY?

PS3 will be selling ABOVE PSP in next 2 years, that means above 50 mln. by the end of 2010 already. =)
PS3 is getting BIGGER support, then PSP was gettign last 2 years.

@Louie, i don`t care about Wii, it has very few games, that interest me. Same goes for x360. =)
About "to release new games all the time" this actually will happen this year. =)

You people REALLY underestimate:
1) PS3 299$ and 199$ price point.
2) SLIM version.
3) GREAT AA exclusives every year.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Crazzyman is probably a troll account, but if he isn't, then here is what he is missing:

- Console sales are majority based on momentum for a variety of reasons.
- Prominent reasons include games being produced for consoles with large userbases. The PS3 having the smallest userbase ironically means it's userbase is the least likely to grow.
- The other most prominent reason is the "what my friend's have got" phenomenon, seen at play with the Wii, and with Xbox live on the Xbox 360.
- Then there is the fact that (assuming the Wii sorts its supply issues) the PS3 will ALWAYS be more expensive than the other consoles.



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MikeB said:
@ amp316

So you expect the PS3 to sell 140 million?


HDTV penetration is going up (by 2016 a vast majority of TVs in usage), developers have begun to really tap the PS3's potential. A cheaper slimline with a PS2 emulator, then yes I see no reason why not?

IMO at some point biased US media will have to give in, just like with regard to the real situation in Iraq.

 

My spaghetti has no meatballs and it's your fault and what the hell does HDTV adoption and the PS3 have to do with Iraq?  How can you make such a comparison? 

 



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I seriously can't understand these predictions with PS3 selling 9-digit ammounts (100m+). Just because PS1 and PS2 were success, that doesn't mean PS3 will be too. Sony's victory streak is over, stop dreaming.



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- Console sales are majority based on momentum for a variety of reasons.
PRICECUT+KZ2+FFXIII+GT5 = MOMENTUM.

- Prominent reasons include games being produced for consoles with large userbases. The PS3 having the smallest userbase ironically means it's userbase is the least likely to grow.
PS3 STILL COST 400$, that is ABOVE PS2 launch price. THat is MOST expensive console on the market.
- The other most prominent reason is the "what my friend's have got" phenomenon, seen at play with the Wii, and with Xbox live on the Xbox 360.
Yeah, 25 mln. x360 owners will make big difference,
while Wii and PS3 can co-exist. Since PS3 is a HD console, while Wii is SD, but with motion controls.
- Then there is the fact that (assuming the Wii sorts its supply issues) the PS3 will ALWAYS be more expensive than the other consoles.
AFTER reaching 299$, especially 199$, it won`t matter anymore.
SEE PS2 - xbox - GC PRICE WAR. GC costed less then PS2, it still sold less.
PS3 is still getting BIG 3rd party support. =)

YOU FAIL.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

amp316 said:
This is a joke thread. Right?

If it isn't, you need your head examined.

If it is, it isn't funny.

Either way it is a complete failure as a thread.

Mln. does stand for million. Right?

 

Crazzyman does this every year... just tell your kids to look away and not stare... :P JK crazzyman I love you and your CRAZZY ways.



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Making the right moves PS3 can still reach 100million, but not by the end of 2012, more likely by the end of 2013 (if next price cut and big releases start improving sales and successive ones furtherly boost them).



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PS3 will earn a huge boost when GT5, GoW3 and the FFXIIIs are out. These titles together with Killzone 2 to counter Halo, will make the PS3 finally stand on its two legs to the average mainstream consumer. There are too many factors here: PS3 can either keep like it is right now and barely sell 50 million lifetime or go overdrive and sell up to 100 million.



 

 

 

 

 

- Console sales are majority based on momentum for a variety of reasons.
PRICECUT+KZ2+FFXIII+GT5 = MOMENTUM.
No.  The other consoles already have momentum.  The reasons why the Japanese market in particular cannot support the PS3 in addition to other consoles have already been covered in this thread.  In any case, Sony cannot afford to take the PS3 to $299 anytime in 2009.  Even if they could, Xbox 360 purchasers have shown us that $199, not $299 is the golden pricepoint.  Why would people hold off for two years (at least) to get a PS3 with the same gaming capabilities and same games as an Xbox 360 cheap now?  And in two years, why would they buy a $199 PS3 with the same games as an Xbox 360 at $99?
- Prominent reasons include games being produced for consoles with large userbases. The PS3 having the smallest userbase ironically means it's userbase is the least likely to grow.
PS3 STILL COST 400$, that is ABOVE PS2 launch price. THat is MOST expensive console on the market. A year ago people like you were saying the PS3 would sell regardless of that pricepoint.  As I already explained, the PS3 will always have a price disadvantage.
- The other most prominent reason is the "what my friend's have got" phenomenon, seen at play with the Wii, and with Xbox live on the Xbox 360.
Yeah, 25 mln. x360 owners will make big difference Er, it does.  It already has.,
while Wii and PS3 can co-exist. Since PS3 is a HD console, while Wii is SD, but with motion controls. The same is true of the Xbox 360, which has already taken more market share than the PS3, and there is no reason this will reverse.  The PS3's relative failure and media exposure as a failure have already brought about the fall of Playstation as a powerful brand.
- Then there is the fact that (assuming the Wii sorts its supply issues) the PS3 will ALWAYS be more expensive than the other consoles.
AFTER reaching 299$, especially 199$, it won`t matter anymore.
SEE PS2 - xbox - GC PRICE WAR. GC costed less then PS2, it still sold less. Thats because the PS2 had exclusive third party support.  The PS3 has none left.
PS3 is still getting BIG 3rd party support. =) It is getting NO exclusive third party support from here on out.  Why pay $200 more for the same game that can be had on the Xbox 360 (normally at a better resolution and framerate)?

YOU FAIL.

There you go, I took the bait.  Now that it's been established you have no reasonable, fact-based groundwork or applicable logic, can you ask a mod to lock this thread?

 



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