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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Official VGC Thread of Year End 2009 Predictions

As of the week ending Jan. 2, 2010, I predict:
DS: 132
Wii: 80
360: 38.5
PSP: 55
PS3: 31.5

Preface: I'll admit I looked really closely at TheSource's and Stever89's predictions while formulating my own, but I'm my own man. On the other hand, they're actually good at this while I'm groping in the dark, but still! It may look like I'm mostly hewing closely to TheSource, but really I was going to go higher in general until Stever89 pulled me back down.

Wii: 80m (34.35m sold)
I feel that once again the Wii's sales are going to depend mainly on the Wii's production.

360: 38.5m (11.10m sold)
On the one hand, the console isn't getting any younger; on the other, its price drop has given it a real second wind. Another (in response to a PS3 price drop) would only help.

PS3: 31.5m (11.99m sold)
I was tempted to put this one at 1m higher than TheSource for no tangible reason. I compromised.

DS: 132m (34.86m sold)
This one was really tough for me to decide. Sales in Japan were really dropping off before the DSi, but on the other hand they seem to REALLY like the DSi. Still, when there's already one DS for every five human beings in Japan, can the boost really last a whole year? I wish I knew how big a hit it will be elsewhere; but betting against Nintendo's handheld juggernaut is always dangerous. I wouldn't be at all surprised by 129 or 135+.

PSP: 55m (11.63m sold)
Looking at the charts, I don't see that it has lost enough momentum to justify TheSource's prediction. Hopefully, this isn't monumental ignorance on my part. I can see it dropping back to 2007 levels, but TheSource's prediction is 2 million lower than that.



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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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wii:73 000 000

ds:120 000 000

psp:55 500 000

xbox:42 000 000

ps3:35 000 000

ps2:129 000 000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

wii 75 million
xbox 360 40 million
ps3 with a price cut at 250 38
nds 130 million
psp 60 million



Look at my sig.




Nintendo still doomed?
Feel free to add me on 3DS or Switch! (PM me if you do ^-^)
Nintendo ID: Mako91                  3DS code: 4167-4543-6089

Wii: 76M
360: 41.5M
PS3: 28M



Prediction made on 11/1/2008:

Q4 2008: 27M xbox LTD, 20M PS3 LTD . 2009 sales: 11M xbox,  9M PS3

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sorry



Wii: 81 M

XBOX 360: 37 M

PS3: 32M

DS: 128M

PSP: 58M



PS3: 36mil
360: 40mil
Wii: 63mil
NDS: 118mil
PSP: 58mil



Prediction:

TGS this year for PS3 will be amazing.

Grandia comes to PSN(PSone classic).

First Versus gameplay this year.

The Adventures Of Duane and Brando

Skittles said:
PS3: 36mil
360: 40mil
Wii: 63mil
NDS: 118mil
PSP: 58mil

PS3 sales are down compared to last year and you think they'll manage to sell about 15 million in 2009? I like those odds!

The 360 will probably be at 38 million. I imagine the lifetime sales will be about 60 million. Sony really dropped the ball by chasing its fans away with such an expensive machine.




DS:127,032,143   Wii:77,727,941   360:39,814,706   PSP:57,517,857   PS3:32,638,235

Looking at the average, DS is less than 17 million away, Wii less than 25 million away, 360 less than 8 million away, PSP less than 7 million away, and PS3 less than 9 million away. We'll see what eventually happens.



^_^