Bumples

wii 75 million

xbox360 42 million

PS3 30 million

DS 120 million

PSP 55 million

Quick predictions, will finalize later.

DS: 123-125m
PSP: 51-53m
Wii: 63-65m
360: 34-36m
PS3: 28-30m

When?

From 2007 (Jan through November) to 2008 (same period) the X360 has seen (will have when Japan is in) a 38% increase

However you may be right about PS3... but I don't think it will manage it, the reason it did so well this year is it was carrying good momentum through Christmas.... so it was the better selling of the two HDs until Microsoft put a stop to it in the last few months.

Next year MS will have had the Christmas momentum, and considerably more than Sony, so the 360 will be slowing the PS3s start to the year. If Sony don't do something about it then I would be suprised if the PS3 managed over 32.5 million.... A good price cut in the right place with the right advertising (like X360 has now) could push many PS3s.... but the best time for cuts like that is just before Christmas, which won't have helped them through the main years sales.

You're right. It is a ~ 40-43% increase.

360 sold 8.1M in 2007

It looks like it is going to sell 3M more, which puts it at 11.5M for 2008

I also see that I overestimated end of 08, which means that I also overestimated the sales for 08.

So a more sound prediction is

19.5M total

10M in 08.

33% increase = 13.3 + 19.5 = 32.8M

hmmm.

Since my 08 predictions (below) are waaaay off.
I'll wait until Jan 09 before I dispense with any prediction.

I will be going the conservative route though in 2009. I think there simply is not enough room for 3 players in this industry with this economy and one leader will tail off significantly.

I'm pretty sure that Nintendo isn't going to tail off, so that leaves an all out deathmatch between you know who.