OP, you really think PS3 will sell no more then 9M in 2009 or was it simply to get attention? If it was the latter it sure did work, worked very well indeed.

"FFXIII PS3 Japanese version will shave a million units off of the 360's lead by itself." -

wow paul, thats the first thing youve posted that i can believe. though, at the rate things are going, that might not be till 2010. outside of that, i dont think any one game will tip the scales. Im still waiting for ms to do something about that, i would not be surprised if ms found the right price to get it on the 360, but only 6 months latter, when ever it came out in the rest of the world. its seems very strange to keep a game exclusive in one region, though i do understand the wofull number of 360 owners there hurts alot.

outside of japan however i do not see FFXIII moving that many consoles for either side, as by the time it comes out most people will have one that would play this game, so i give each console a 20% bump at most with slightly more benifit going to the ps3 on average because of legacy.

I still think people are pushing GT5 too much as a system seller, yes the game will be big, but it comes late, and after prolog, if prolog had not come out id be more sold on the idea, but people who would buy the console for gt already got it for prolog.

versus could still become cross platform, its a ways off 2010-11 in japan 2011-12 in the rest of the world

killzone 2, if that does not push 1 million in the first week, it will be tough to justify a 3rd installment. its release date is very odd for a high profile game it will be interesting to see how it is recived.

is there a release date for GoW III yet? also i gotta say after looking at 2 sales, thats going to be on a downward slide unless bundled.


WKC is up in the air for how it will do, rpgs have been hot or miss this gen, very strange...

dude thats a crappy analogy unless you expect ms and sony to start a private war, or executives to go hand to hand to decide the console war

edit double post stupid internet

@ Paul_Warren,

See you are wrong about what sells systems. The 360 will continue to sell because it will continue to get a wide variety of high quality titles. Sure a huge title can create a short term boost, but it is the steady flow of quality titles that keep things moving.

It doesnt need another Halo 4 this generation. Halo 4 can be nurtured by the new development team and brought along slowly and kick off the launch of the NextBox. As for Gears 3 MS and Epic will want to close out that trilogy on the 360. Let that trilogy end in November 2010. Then a new trilogy can start in 2012/2013.

It is to late now for the PS3. The PS3 isnt all of a sudden going to get more 3rd party support. It isnt all of a sudden get the best versions of 3rd party games (Yes there are exceptions). It isnt all of a sudden going to be around the same price. Sure the PS3 will probably drop $100 next holiday, but 360 will drop price as well. Maybe not $100, but enough so the Arcade is 1/2 the price of the PS3. There is nothing that will create a dramatic shift.

Paul_Warren likes to make cruddy predictions.

He's probably making a super-long post. Give him a few more minutes.

Just because you keep saying it doesn't make it true.

i don't think we see an arcade price cut next year but the premium and elite will both drop 30-50.

microsoft will make sure the pro model will always be cheaper than the ps3.

Yeah... it will end 2008 at around 27M. End of 2009, 36M at the very least. EVEN if MS released the 720 in 2010 (which they will not), 40M is a given.