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Has a Wii Exclusive ever outsell Halo 3 /GTA4 1st day/Week sales?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Has a Wii Exclusive ever outsell Halo 3 /GTA4 1st day/Week sales?

No way.

Year 2-3 is usually the time when titles have their top launches. After that, there are simply too many games to compete with, so launces become smaller.

I believe the situation is this for single-platforms (time in all areas)

1st day - Halo 3

 

1st week - Halo 3- 3.8M

GTA IV (360) 3.4M

Brawl 2.8M,

MKWii  2.4M

Galaxy - 1.1M

 

 

1st Month (4 weeks)

 

Halo 3 - 5.1M

GTA IV - 5.05M

Brawl  4.9M

MKWii  4.6M

Wii Fit - 3.1M

Galaxy - 2.5M

 

 

3 Months

 

Halo 3 - 6.7M

Brawl at 6.45M

MKWii at 6.4M

GTA IV - 5.9M

Super Mario Galaxy - 5.4M

Wii Fit - 5.3M

 

 

6 Months -

Wii Fit  9M

MKWii  8.7M

Halo 3 7.5M

Brawl  7.1M

Super Mario Galaxy - 6.3M

GTA IV (360) - 6.2M

 

 

So for the first month, Wii games sell far less, for the next 2 months, about the same as the other blockbusters, but then, the 2 Wii games take off (compared to the others). Brawl, Wii's biggest opener, is really just selling on par with Halo 3. 

 

For 12 months, I suspect it will look something like this.

Wii Fit - 16M

Mario Kart Wii - 14.5M

Brawl - 8.25M

Halo 3 - 8.25M (this has already reached it, so no speculation).

SMG - 7.3M (already reached, no speculation)

GTA IV - 7.3M

 

BTW, I just realized this had very little to do with the topic.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

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Oyvoyvoyv said:

No way.

Year 2-3 is usually the time when titles have their top launches. After that, there are simply too many games to compete with, so launces become smaller.

From what I gather, the biggest launches in the past gens have been at year 4 or longer.

PS2: GTA San Andreas. PS2 age: 4yrs

Region Japan America Others Total
Total Sales 0.41m 8.73m 8.27m 17.41m
Week 1 220,123 2,252,004 1,513,978 3,986,105

PS1: FF8? PS1 age: 4yrs + 9months

Region Japan America Others Total
Total Sales 3.64m 2.34m 1.88m 7.86m
Week 1 2,592,405 n/a n/a 2,592,405

SNES: DQVI? SNES age: 5yrs

Region Japan America Others Total
Total Sales 3.19m 0.00m 0.00m 3.19m
Week 1 1,529,679 n/a n/a 1,529,679


OT: Of course, I doubt there will be a game quite that big. Nintendo has few games that carry lots of hype, and they've already passed (Zelda, Mario, SSBB, Kart). Neither Zelda nor Brawl are big enough to manage 4mil in one week, and Mario's debuts aren't that big. Besides, Japan isn't into 3D Mario.

Its only real advantage is it has Japan on its side, and (shown above) they have proven they can move insane amounts of software, considering the size of the market. Unfortunately, this mainly applies to FF and DQ, and DQ isn't big enough outside of Japan. It's also highly doubtful a main FF will hit the Wii.

So, the only thing left really is the Wii Series. Wii Fit debuted at 1.6mil, as it was severely constrained by supply. If Nintendo hyped Wii Sports Resort enough, it may have a respectable launch (maybe around Wii Fit level). That's the only game I can see launching very high in the future. They still do have 2-3 years for a bigger Wii Series game launch, though.



The only Wii exclusives that stand a chance are GTAV and Wii Sports Resort

GTA because it's only a chance that it'll be exclusive, and Wii Sports resort because i doubt its first week sales will be that big