Double post.

Kwaad you are married? Didn't you say something about macking game/meeting women the other day...

Will it be possible that all the three consoles will surpass 100 million?

Maybe for ps3 and Wii, not 360. 360 is great, but if it can't get a significant amount of sales from Japan I can't see that happening.

Interesting thread. Of the three, I think the Wii has the best chance. I doubt the PS3 ever will - simply because of the "aggressive" rate that all companies will need to revise hardware now. I suspect the Wii will reach the 60-70mill mark - then Nintendo will release the Wii v2.0. Whether they keep supporting the Wii, who knows. If you count the Wii + Wii 2.0, I think it (should) easily reach 100mill. Remember that: - worlds population is still growing - new markets are being opened up all the time - cost of technology is becoming progressively lower - average income in a lot of non-gaming countries is rising significantly When the conditions are right, a console will sell 100mill in China/India alone. And if it ever reaches 30% penetration in these countries - it could be closer to 250m. The big unknown is still... manufacturing. In essence, *everything* is limited by the rate that companies can manufacture these consoles. If any of the companies can "magically" manufacture 10m / month, everything will change. I think Nintendo *could* sell 100m Wii's - in a single year. It would require a price cut, heaps of marketing and some smart bundles - but it could be possible. (not that its going to happen).

And a comment on the N64... The N64 started with a lot of promise. It had more "power" (in some ways) than the PSX, some awesome games, a solid following, etc. But it had some serious problems that ended up killing it. The biggest was power/performance/ease of development (all linked). It had NO VRAM. It couldn't push as many polys as the PSX. The carts were EXPENSIVE to manufacture - and could store very little (compared to the PSX disc). This eventually scared most of the publishers off, stopped 3rd party support (completely), and left Nintendo as the only solid developer on the console (plus Rare). It was one of Nintendo's darkest hours - they screwed up completely. It was years until they recovered - with the development of the GC (which became a new direction, and the base for the Wii). I worked at a company that did multi-platform development - including the N64. It would have been the least favourite console there in many ways. What the N64 needed: - more texture VRAM (4k was not enough!) - 32k or 256k at least - faster clock rate (we had an issue at work where we discovered some N64's running at HALF the clock rate??) - double the triangle draw rate (the PSX could push out more tri's than the N64 ever could - but the N64 had "prettier" triangles) May not have saved it, but it would have been more competitive against the PSX (and would have lasted longer). The PS2 blew it away when it came out (as did the DC).

I don't think it will. PS1 and PS2 were incredible selling machines, just ridiculous the sales they achieved. Wii lacks the developer support to get there, something both the PS1 and PS2 had. Think about it. GTA is never going to be on the Wii, RE will never be on the Wii, Assassins Creed, Unreal Tournament. And the list goes on, it simply doesn't have the horsepower for a lot of top selling games that are going to completely skip the Wii system all together. Based on 2 full months of sales we reach this conclusion??