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Forums - Sales Discussion - Kaz believes PS3 will hit 11 million sales

Sri Lumpa on 14 July 2007

So Microsoft shipped 10.5 millions from launch to end of year 2006 and 11.6 from launch to end of june 2007 so about 11 millions from launch to en of march 2007 yet Sony, who have been consistently either selling on par with (at best) or under (at worst) the 360 numbers from last year (save for the Euro launch ) think they can ship 11 millions in twelve months as opposed to MS's 16.3 months?

It just isn't going to happen if they keep the price at 599 (the 499 price of the 60GB model is not a price drop but a months-long clearance sale so that Sony can ditch the EE from the US PS3's).

Maybe if GTA4 was not multiplatform from day 1 or if Final Fantasy XIII was both shipping this fiscal year AND the best selling Final Fantasy ever or if GT5 came out this fiscal year.

I sure as hell am not going to be holding my breath for this though.


"I do not suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it"

 

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weezy on 14 July 2007

11 million sales at the last months of 08



I am WEEzY. You can suck my Nintendo loving BALLS!

 

MynameisGARY

Bodhesatva on 14 July 2007

Does anyone know how many consoles Sony has shipped this fiscal year? 1.5 million? 2 million, maybe?



http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">

weezy on 14 July 2007


I am WEEzY. You can suck my Nintendo loving BALLS!

 

MynameisGARY

PinkPoop on 15 July 2007

3 million in Japan, 5 million in USA, 3 million in Europe. It's not impossible at all.



Sometimes it hurts to go number 2.

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libellule on 15 July 2007

-3M in japan,
wow, it is a lot
will be so hard, soon everybod's gold5 will definitively help us to see if PS3 can do something in japan
-3M in europe,
if there is a TRUE price cut at the end of the year, yes, I believe
-5M in USA
really depend of what does microsoft with the xbox360 and her price.

==> whatever, 11M sold at the end of 2008 is a highly optimistic estimation ...



Time to Work !

tombi123 on 15 July 2007
libellule said:
-
==> whatever, 11M sold at the end of 2008 is a highly optimistic estimation ...

 what, this is extremely low estimate. i reckon closer to double that.



WiteoutKing on 15 July 2007

They have yet to hit 4 million after 8 months. If they keep at it at about this rate, by the end of 2008 they'll have sold almost exactly 11 million. In order to hit 22 million (tombi123's suggested number), they would have to sell 18 million in 17 months. That's a rate of over double what they're selling now, consistently over the course of the next year and a half. In other words: unlikely in the current scenario.



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007