Blu ray won't die by then, and will live on for years after. It'll gain popularity much faster after players get significantly cheaper, and the PS3 is among those players. In time It'll replace DVD.

Digital distribution won't replace physical media anytime soon. Mark my words.

d21lewis said: PS4 won't use Blu-Ray. Name two Sony consoles that use the same media format. That's right! You can't!!

 

The CD was old already established technology when Sony used it for the original Playstation. The move to DVD was required to hold enough data for good quality video/audio and extras, it made sense for the PS2 to use this technology to fit more demanding games and to enable DVD movie playback.

The transition to Blu-Ray disc is required as new TV sets have much better quality and high resolution displays (more storage space is needed for games and movies to tap these advantages to the best ability). This time the PS3 is at the forefront of cutting edge technology. It's not riding waves it's creating them.

If there's going to be a PS4 within the upcoming 10 years (1080p HDTVs will probably be standard around then), I think it will have a Blu-Ray drive, also for backward compatibility reasons. Probably a much faster loading version.

Blu-Ray won't be dead or anywhere near it for a few reasons.

1. Blu-Ray players will be much much cheaper by then, almost the same price as DVD players nowadays. They're already down to the lower $200's, and that's 4 years away.

2. Blu-Ray discs will be much cheaper by then as well, while not the same price as CD's or DVD's, still significantly lower than they are today, making that argument not an issue.

3. Everyone's already said this, but DD won't be able to corner the market or get anywhere close to it. You'd need much too fast internet capabilities, very very large hard drives (or multiple very large hard drives). The cost of dealing with DD will blast the cost of buying Blu-Rays out of the water. Not to mention, you'll never get the same quality in HD on anything as you will in Blu-Ray at this point (aside from another media storage device, such as another disk format).

heruamon said: This article has some good points, and unless sony can REALLY get brd much closer to dvd in price, it's going to be a no win situation...right now, studios are trying to get more profits out of home video market, so sony would have to eat the loss in profitability...it already cost more to product a PS3 game over 360 game based on disc cost...but 2012 is a LONG ways away. http://www.techradar.com/news/video/hd-dvd/5-reasons-why-blu-ray-could-be-dead-by-2012-464705

 

Microsoft is not going to help Sony bluray thats for sure

Microsoft was a big HD-DVD supporter do not forget that

Microsoft is already working and waiting for a larger and better Media disk from the Bluray according to the rumors

Bluray is going to die sooner than expected

 

Also Samsung does not have a good opinion about the Bluray and it predicts that will have a small life span

d21lewis said: PS4 won't use Blu-Ray. Name two Sony consoles that use the same media format. That's right! You can't!! Now, you owe me five bucks. That was the deal.

 

PS2 also uses CD based games rarely. They are the ones on purple discs which run at 24x and make the console shake like a mother. A bad one (some fishing game) once blew my drive, thats why I rarely buy CD based used games if I can avoid it.

@ Vasot

In what ways better?

More data storage than multi-layer Blu-Ray disc? (Currently up to 200 GB per disc)

Faster? How much faster loading than the fastest Blu-Ray PC drives available by then?

Major innovations like constant reading speeds throughout the disc and scratch resistance are already there with Blu-Ray. What makes you think a new disc format would be able to provide to beat a by then already well established Blu-Ray format? HDTVs will likely support 1080p and 7.x audio, so even higher specs seems to be overkill for 2012.

What would be the incentive to drop Blu-Ray disc for another disc format?

d21lewis said: PS4 won't use Blu-Ray. Name two Sony consoles that use the same media format. That's right! You can't!! Now, you owe me five bucks. That was the deal.

 

 PS3 = ps2 +ps1

PS3 plays any disc ever created(not UMD), and plays ps1 games(ps2 games for 60gb and 20gb)

Blu-ray will still be around after 2012.

I think the better question is what else will be out there? Will traditional media distribution remain mainstream? And therefore, will blu-ray ever become as ubitous as DVD, VHS, cassette tape, and CD did?

And if traditional distribution methods are no longer mainstream or there is another format with a much more flexibility, will blu-ray ever become as main stream as the others did?

I have been taking advantage of movie downloads a lot lately and I am really questioning why I would go to blockbuster to rent or to a store to buy anymore. I know high speed internet is not something everyone has, but by 2012 anything can happen.

What if media companies are the sole owners of cable and telephone providers? They could bundle, distribution services with subscriptions or into the price of rentals. What if satellite Internet is a reality? What if digital access is available much cheaper and to everyone much cheaper?

We are living in an age where everything has changed and will continue to change. Nothing remains the same near as long anymore.

leo-j said: d21lewis said: PS4 won't use Blu-Ray. Name two Sony consoles that use the same media format. That's right! You can't!! Now, you owe me five bucks. That was the deal.    PS3 = ps2 +ps1 PS3 plays any disc ever created(not UMD), and plays ps1 games(ps2 games for 60gb and 20gb)

 

 minidisc?

thing is arnt the market place movies 720p and i only have 5mb broadband and it streams very welll