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How well will Metal Gear Solid 4 sell in Japan?

Forums - Sales Discussion - How well will Metal Gear Solid 4 sell in Japan?

Using typical ratios of other PS3 games to PS2 counterparts, I think it may do about 300-350k the first week, and end around 600-700k.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

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i seeing a 20-30% attach rate in Japan and seeing that their is a little of over 2 million PS3 in Japan it will sale a about 150-250k first week and over 750k in its lifetime but i would expect to sell over 2.5 million in the pal and Americas region



There is nothing to suggest MGS4 will be the PS3's Saviour or sell over a million software-wise.

But for some strange reason, I feel like this game will do AMAZINGLY well in Japan. I don't know that it will give the PS3 a hardware boost for more than a month, but in terms of software I think the sales will be incredible.

FW: 300k minimum.

LT: 1.3 million.



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Yeah, DMC4 did 208k the first week. I know for a fact that MGS is a much more popular series in Japan than DMC.

So, 350k will be my estimate.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

people always forget, when citing previous consoles and prequals, that the first "new" game on a "new" gen always sells higher than normal. For example. GT Prologue compared to its PS2 counterpart. DMC compared to PS2 counterparts. There is an aura of excitement, newness, freshness and intrigue that pushes sequels debuting on new systems higher first week. If the game happens to be good, as MGS seems to be, it will most likely stabilize higher than expected.

Id say 400k first week roughly 1 million LTD.



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Call me pessimistic or whatever, but japanese gaming this generation has been very peculiar.

170k 1st week, 300k LTD
30k 1st week PS3 boost



steverhcp02 said:
people always forget, when citing previous consoles and prequals, that the first "new" game on a "new" gen always sells higher than normal. For example. GT Prologue compared to its PS2 counterpart. DMC compared to PS2 counterparts. There is an aura of excitement, newness, freshness and intrigue that pushes sequels debuting on new systems higher first week. If the game happens to be good, as MGS seems to be, it will most likely stabilize higher than expected.

Id say 400k first week roughly 1 million LTD.
 Except we're talking about Japan only, GT4P sold way better than GT5P in Japan. 

 



if this game (which is actually 2 games in one with Metal Gear Online -wonder if Japanese market even cares about that one-) can't break 300K first week with the different bundles and limited gunmetal PS3, then I'd lose all hope for the japanese "gamers".



566k first month
1m lifetime

WiiFit will be 2008 #1 selling game in NORTH AMERICA!  
End of '08 Predictions: Wii - 48m X360 - 25m  PS3 - 19m
Wii monthly NA sales will top 400k every month in '08. *Jan sales ruined it. Grrrr!*
WiiFit will top 1m in sales in its first month of release in North America.
MGS4 will NOT be released in '08. *Darn it!* FF13 will NOT be released in '08.
Rockband Wii will top 600k in first month sales in North America.
WiiFit will pass the PS3 WW sales by Xmas '09.

The game will sell more than 200k ... DMC4 did that ammount and it was far less popular than MGS4 in every way . MGS4 at this point , untill FFXIII will be released is the biggest game for the PS3 in Japan . Also , maybe everyone forgot , but PO actually sold more in Japan than in the US or Others , so maybe the market had changed a bit since Snake Eater IMO ...


Im expecting low-end 300k first week sales , and 600k LT in Japan . High - end I would say 450k-500k first week to 800-850k LT :)