I doubt it also.

It depends on how good it is but i cant see it personally, shame though cos the Metal Gear series is a damn sight better that the Halo one

no....

3 million in 1 week is way too much, it's not as popular as Halo3

No. Smaller install base and also smaller and different audience. Halo3 as bad as it was, catered to casual and hardcore gamers alike and was a simple game to pick up and play. Not so sure with a game like MGS4. Also haven't seen any advertisements for it either so the advertising campaign is already behind against the Halo 3 hype machine. I thought the most anticipated game of 2008 was GTA4.

Gnizmo said: windbane said: Name Console Publisher Japan America Others Total Halo 2 Microsoft 0.11 6.67 1.68 8.46 Halo 3 Microsoft 0.10 5.69 1.96 7.75 Halo Microsoft 0.10 4.91 1.42 6.43 Name Console Publisher Japan America Others Total Metal Gear Solid Konami 0.78 2.81 2.00 5.59 Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty Konami 0.85 2.29 2.42 5.56 Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater Konami 0.86 1.42 1.69 3.97 Metal Gear Solid: Portable Ops Konami 0.38 0.35 0.31 1.04 It's nice not being on the PS3 browser anymore... Anyway, MGS2 was a disappointment to a lot of people (not me), so MGS3 didn't sell as well. It was only a prequel and on the same system and released when Halo 2 was, I believe. However, as you can see, the difference is only 3 million between MGS and Halo 2. I fully expect MGS4 to sell better than these previous versions with the bundle. Halo 3 still has a ways to go to catch up to Halo 2. But hey, we'll see. I don't particularly care either way. Halo is probably the most overblown game as far as sales go. CoD4 has blown it away. Granted, that's multiplatform, but the way it is still selling it might pass Halo 3 on 360 alone. The difference is only 3 million between Halo 2 and MGS 1&2. but Halo 3 also hasn't topped out for its sales potential. I imagine it will settle somewhere closer to Halo 2. Maybe a few hundred thousand over or under, but nothing significant. I also had forgotten about the bundle when typing my post up. Your second reply came while I was typing so I missed it. It does muddy the water a bit on the potential sales. I am going to refrain from any specific prediction in light of that fact. There is also a decent chance being the first on the console it will trigger a sales surge in both Europe and America which is why I was using the high points for comparison before. Without knowing how long that bundle will be present, and whether or not MGS 4 will trigger a resurgence in popularity with the series there are just too many variables. I do agree that Halo 3 as a measuring stick is way over used. A lot of games with lower initial sales have a really good shot at over-taking the sales lifetime. The problem is people like big numbers so Halo 3 sticks out in their mind. Combine that with everyone wanting their favorite internet popular series to do way better than it ever has a realistic chance to do and you have the constant flow of threads expecting anything and everything to be better than the all-mighty Halo 3.

Yeah, I pretty much agree with everything you say, heh.  I don't think the chances are great.  It all depends on how many bundles Sony decides to put out and how many people buy the game that didn't play the previous ones.  It'll be interesting.  I'm finally finishing Portable Ops now...so good. 

Its sad to think about, this is a perfect example of a game that deserves attention from a mass media. It gets attention from the....i wouldn't say hardcore....but more serious gamers. It deserves to beat out a game as poor as halo 3. It's kind of like Okami. I can only hope for the best for it. My guess will be 1.5 million.

MGS 4 will sell between 5 to 6 million LTD.

First week between 1.5 million to 2 million worldwide. 

@Soriku

I mean WW..

FF13 will easily outsell Halo 3 in 1st week..

If not that GT 5 will due to strong EU/JAP sales.

but as you know FF13 will have the NA advantage as well..

I doubt it. While FF is big, I don't think it's going to get a 3,8 million opening week. FF generally gets a lot bigger opening weeks in Japan than anywhere else, too.

And given the vast difference in install base between PSX/PS2 and PS3, I can only predict that it'll fall short of Halo 3's opening week. 

I cant believe people are only predicting 1 million first WEEK!!!!

This has been hyped for 3 years, the hype has NEVER been dissapated by bad vibes or anything, nothing but positive reviews have come from people who have played, every games magazine is covering it as a huge event, some people have bought the 3 previous 3D installments, the series gets universally brilliant reviews...

NO it will not surpass Halo 3 in launch week, because Americans fell over themsleves to buy a game that was basically a shorter and slightly better looking version of Halo 2.

HOWEVER 1 million 1st week sales would be a blow to Konami, who want that figure on day 1, and i say they will get 2 million first week, or as near as dammit.

Go Snake!